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Lille vs Estac Troyes Predictions

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 13 Sept 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Lille

2nd in table · 18 pts

LDLDW

Sun, 13 Sept 202614:00

2 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 2.18

Estac Troyes

16th in table · 8 pts

DLLDW

Pre-match win probability

66.4%Lille20.1%Draw13.4%Estac Troyes

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Lille

Lille vs Estac Troyes listed tip from the board.

Odds2.18
Confidence45.87%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lille 66.4%
  • Draw 20.1%
  • Estac Troyes 13.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.1846%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LilleEstac Troyes
Goals scored (avg)
1.21
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.8
Wins
52
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lille3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctLille1 – 0LensW
  • 25 OctMonaco1 – 1LilleD
  • 21 OctLille2 – 4GalatasarayL
  • 17 OctLille1 – 1Stade Brestois 29D
  • 13 OctArsenal3 – 0LilleL
  • 10 OctLille1 – 0Le HavreW
  • 2 OctLille2 – 1Zulte WaregemW
  • 20 SeptNice2 – 1LilleL
  • 8 SeptLille2 – 3Real BetisL
Estac Troyes2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctEstac Troyes2 – 0Le MansW
  • 25 OctToulouse0 – 0Estac TroyesD
  • 17 OctEstac Troyes1 – 3LensL
  • 11 OctEstac Troyes0 – 2MarseilleL
  • 2 OctDijon2 – 2Estac TroyesD
  • 19 SeptAngers2 – 0Estac TroyesL
  • 6 SeptEstac Troyes2 – 6StrasbourgL
  • 29 AugLorient1 – 2Estac TroyesW
  • 22 AugEstac Troyes0 – 0Paris FCD
H2H
Head to headLille 3W · 3D · Estac Troyes 3W · 3 goals a game
  • 3 JunEstac Troyes1 – 1Lille
  • 15 JanLille5 – 1Estac Troyes
  • 8 JanLille2 – 0Estac Troyes
  • 1 MayEstac Troyes3 – 0Lille
  • 4 DecLille2 – 1Estac Troyes
  • 20 JanEstac Troyes1 – 0Lille
  • 14 OctLille2 – 2Estac Troyes
  • 23 JanLille1 – 3Estac Troyes
  • 21 NovEstac Troyes1 – 1Lille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Lille1.48
Draw4.88
Estac Troyes7.32

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Lille

Chance66.4%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance20.1%
Odds4.88

Estac Troyes

Chance13.4%
Odds7.32

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 2.18

LilleEstac Troyes
Recent form55%45%
Attack55%45%
Defence52%48%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall83%17%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Lille scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Lille conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Lille vs Estac Troyes: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 13 Sept 2026

Lille meet Estac Troyes in the France, Ligue 1 on 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lille at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lille vs Estac Troyes FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lille vs Estac Troyes match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 13 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lille vs Estac Troyes?

Lille is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.