Match dossier

Leixoes vs Tondela Predictions

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026 · 15:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 16 Aug 2026

Leixoes

13th in table · 10 pts

WLLLL

Sun, 16 Aug 202615:30

1 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.28

Tondela

7th in table · 15 pts

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

35.9%Leixoes32.2%Draw31.9%Tondela

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Leixoes

Leixoes vs Tondela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence78.13%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leixoes 35.9%
  • Draw 32.2%
  • Tondela 31.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2878%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2779%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.9933%Lost

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LeixoesTondela
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61
Wins
35
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Leixoes3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 31 OctLeixoes1 – 2Sporting CP BL
  • 24 OctAcademica4 – 0LeixoesL
  • 17 OctVianense1 – 0LeixoesL
  • 10 OctLeixoes1 – 2FC Porto BL
  • 20 SeptCinfães0 – 4LeixoesW
  • 11 SeptTorreense0 – 0LeixoesD
  • 6 SeptLeixoes3 – 1AmaranteW
  • 29 AugPortimonense0 – 2LeixoesW
  • 22 AugLeixoes2 – 4União de LeiriaL
Tondela6W 0D 3L in last 9
  • 1 NovTondela3 – 2Felgueiras 1932W
  • 25 OctAVS2 – 1TondelaL
  • 18 OctTondela2 – 0AlvercaW
  • 10 OctTondela1 – 0TorreenseW
  • 19 SeptImortal Albufeira1 – 5TondelaW
  • 12 SeptPortimonense0 – 2TondelaW
  • 5 SeptTondela3 – 0FC Porto BW
  • 28 AugUnião de Leiria2 – 0TondelaL
  • 21 AugTondela0 – 2AcademicaL
H2H
Head to headLeixoes 2W · 3D · Tondela 4W · 4 goals a game
  • 10 MarLeixoes0 – 1Tondela
  • 12 OctTondela2 – 1Leixoes
  • 3 MarLeixoes1 – 1Tondela
  • 7 OctTondela4 – 2Leixoes
  • 8 AprTondela2 – 3Leixoes
  • 24 OctLeixoes1 – 1Tondela
  • 22 NovTondela3 – 1Leixoes
  • 18 DecLeixoes4 – 4Tondela
  • 15 OctLeixoes3 – 2Tondela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Leixoes2.58
Draw2.88
Tondela2.9

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Leixoes

Chance35.9%
Odds2.58

Draw

Chance32.2%
Odds2.88

Tondela

Chance31.9%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.28

LeixoesTondela
Recent form36%64%
Attack42%58%
Defence41%59%
Goals model42%58%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall53%47%

Trends

Trend · Segunda Liga

Leixoes scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Leixoes conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Leixoes vs Tondela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Leixoes meet Tondela in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 16 August 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leixoes at 2.58. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leixoes vs Tondela FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Leixoes vs Tondela match?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Leixoes vs Tondela?

Leixoes is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.58. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.