Match dossier

Leganes vs Castellón Predictions

Spain · Segunda División · Mon, 28 Sept 2026 · 19:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Leganes

17th in table · 12 pts

LLLDL

Mon, 28 Sept 202619:30

0 : 2

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.36

Castellón

1st in table · 27 pts

LWWWD

Pre-match win probability

30%Leganes27.9%Draw42.1%Castellón

Our prediction

X2 · Leganes

Leganes vs Castellón listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence73.53%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leganes 30%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Castellón 42.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3674%Won
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.6760%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.5539%Lost
  • corners ouOver 7Odds 1.3176%Lost

Season statistics

Segunda División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LeganesCastellón
Goals scored (avg)
0.92.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.90.4
Wins
38
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Leganes2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 2 NovValladolid4 – 3LeganesL
  • 24 OctLeganes1 – 1MallorcaD
  • 16 OctLeganes0 – 1CordobaL
  • 11 OctAlmeria3 – 0LeganesL
  • 3 OctCadiz4 – 0LeganesL
  • 20 SeptLeganes3 – 2Granada CFW
  • 13 SeptTenerife2 – 0LeganesL
  • 4 SeptLas Palmas0 – 0LeganesD
  • 29 AugLeganes1 – 0EldenseW
Castellón6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 1 NovBurgos1 – 1CastellónD
  • 29 OctConquense0 – 3CastellónW
  • 25 OctCastellón4 – 0Sporting GijonW
  • 17 OctLas Palmas0 – 3CastellónW
  • 11 OctFC Andorra1 – 0CastellónL
  • 4 OctCastellón1 – 1AD Ceuta FCD
  • 19 SeptCastellón5 – 0TenerifeW
  • 12 SeptGirona1 – 2CastellónW
  • 6 SeptCastellón2 – 0AlbaceteW
H2H
Head to headLeganes 0W · 1D · Castellón 3W · 1.3 goals a game
  • 16 JanCastellón2 – 0Leganes
  • 29 SeptLeganes0 – 1Castellón
  • 6 MarLeganes0 – 0Castellón
  • 4 OctCastellón2 – 0Leganes

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Leganes3.2
Draw3.44
Castellón2.28

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Leganes

Chance30%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.44

Castellón

Chance42.1%
Odds2.28

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.36

LeganesCastellón
Recent form29%71%
Attack28%72%
Defence30%70%
Goals model28%72%
Head-to-head13%87%
Overall42%58%

Trends

Trend · Segunda División

Leganes scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Leganes conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Leganes vs Castellón: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Mon, 28 Sept 2026

Leganes meet Castellón in the Spain, Segunda División on 28 September 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Castellón at 2.28. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leganes vs Castellón FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Leganes vs Castellón match?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 28 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Leganes vs Castellón?

Castellón is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.28. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.