Match dossier

Leeds vs Newcastle Predictions

England · Premier League · Mon, 14 Sept 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · Premier LeagueMon, 14 Sept 2026

Leeds

12th in table · 11 pts

DLDDL

Mon, 14 Sept 2026·20:00

4 : 1

Full timeTip: 2 · 1.91

Newcastle

13th in table · 11 pts

LLWLL

Win probability

41%Leeds27.2%Draw31.8%Newcastle

Our prediction

2 · Leeds

Leeds vs Newcastle listed tip from the board.

Odds1.91
Confidence52.36%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leeds 41%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Newcastle 31.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free2Odds 1.9152%Lost
  • Away Win2Odds 3.1831%Lost
  • free 2 oddsOver 2.5Odds 1.45Won
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.9152%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.7358%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.7836%Lost
  • Correct Score Tips1-2Odds 10.0010%Lost

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LeedsNewcastle
Goals scored (avg)
11.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41.3
Wins
23
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Leeds1W 5D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctBournemouth2 – 0LeedsL
  • 25 OctSunderland0 – 0LeedsD
  • 18 OctLeeds1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 10 OctArsenal2 – 1LeedsL
  • 20 SeptLeeds0 – 0Crystal PalaceD
  • 9 SeptChelsea6 – 3LeedsL
  • 5 SeptBrighton1 – 1LeedsD
  • 30 AugLeeds1 – 1BrentfordD
  • 25 AugNottingham Forest0 – 2LeedsW
Newcastle4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 2 NovNewcastle0 – 1EvertonL
  • 29 OctEverton3 – 1NewcastleL
  • 25 OctCrystal Palace0 – 2NewcastleW
  • 17 OctNewcastle0 – 1Aston VillaL
  • 12 OctCoventry4 – 1NewcastleL
  • 19 SeptNewcastle2 – 1Hull CityW
  • 8 SeptMillwall0 – 1NewcastleW
  • 5 SeptNewcastle2 – 2BournemouthD
  • 29 AugTottenham0 – 2NewcastleW
H2H
Head to headLeeds 2W · 5D · Newcastle 2W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 7 JanNewcastle4 – 3Leeds
  • 30 AugLeeds0 – 0Newcastle
  • 13 MayLeeds2 – 2Newcastle
  • 31 DecNewcastle0 – 0Leeds
  • 22 JanLeeds0 – 1Newcastle
  • 17 SeptNewcastle1 – 1Leeds
  • 26 JanNewcastle1 – 2Leeds
  • 16 DecLeeds5 – 2Newcastle
  • 14 AprNewcastle1 – 1Leeds

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Leeds2.4
Draw3.62
Newcastle3.1

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Leeds

Chance41%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.62

Newcastle

Chance31.8%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.91

LeedsNewcastle
Recent form38%62%
Attack45%55%
Defence48%52%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall56%44%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Leeds scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Leeds conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Leeds vs Newcastle: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Mon, 14 Sept 2026

Leeds meet Newcastle in the England, Premier League on 14 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leeds at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leeds vs Newcastle FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Leeds vs Newcastle match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 14 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Leeds vs Newcastle?

Leeds is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 41%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.