Match dossier

Leeds vs Manchester United Predictions

England · Premier League · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Leeds

12th in table · 11 pts

WDLDL

Sun, 18 Oct 202614:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: 2 · 3.02

Manchester United

17th in table · 7 pts

LLLLW

Pre-match win probability

40.7%Leeds26.6%Draw32.7%Manchester United

Our prediction

2 · Leeds

Leeds vs Manchester United listed tip from the board.

Odds3.02
Confidence33.11%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leeds 40.7%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Manchester United 32.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 3.0233%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5664%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.7757%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.2031%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 3.4229%Lost

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LeedsManchester United
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.42.1
Wins
21
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Leeds2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctBournemouth2 – 0LeedsL
  • 25 OctSunderland0 – 0LeedsD
  • 10 OctArsenal2 – 1LeedsL
  • 20 SeptLeeds0 – 0Crystal PalaceD
  • 14 SeptLeeds4 – 1NewcastleW
  • 9 SeptChelsea6 – 3LeedsL
  • 5 SeptBrighton1 – 1LeedsD
  • 30 AugLeeds1 – 1BrentfordD
  • 25 AugNottingham Forest0 – 2LeedsW
Manchester United1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 3 NovManchester United3 – 2AS RomaW
  • 31 OctChelsea2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthL
  • 21 OctComo4 – 1Manchester UnitedL
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 10 OctManchester United1 – 1TottenhamD
  • 20 SeptFulham1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 16 SeptManchester United2 – 3BrightonL
  • 13 SeptManchester United0 – 1Manchester CityL
H2H
Head to headLeeds 1W · 4D · Manchester United 4W · 3 goals a game
  • 12 AugManchester United1 – 1Leeds
  • 13 AprManchester United1 – 2Leeds
  • 4 JanLeeds1 – 1Manchester United
  • 19 JulManchester United0 – 0Leeds
  • 12 JulManchester United2 – 0Leeds
  • 12 FebLeeds0 – 2Manchester United
  • 8 FebManchester United2 – 2Leeds
  • 20 FebLeeds2 – 4Manchester United
  • 14 AugManchester United5 – 1Leeds

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Leeds2.42
Draw3.7
Manchester United3.01

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Leeds

Chance40.7%
Odds2.42

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.7

Manchester United

Chance32.7%
Odds3.01

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 3.02

LeedsManchester United
Recent form67%33%
Attack59%41%
Defence64%36%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Leeds scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Leeds conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Leeds vs Manchester United: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Leeds meet Manchester United in the England, Premier League on 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leeds at 2.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leeds vs Manchester United FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Leeds vs Manchester United match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Leeds vs Manchester United?

Leeds is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.