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Lazio vs Genoa Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 30 Aug 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 30 Aug 2026

Lazio

1st in table · 28 pts

WWWWW

Sun, 30 Aug 202619:45

1 : 0

Full timeTip: Under 3.5 · 1.17

Genoa

11th in table · 13 pts

WLWWW

Pre-match win probability

46%Lazio30.8%Draw23.2%Genoa

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Lazio

Lazio vs Genoa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence85.47%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lazio 46%
  • Draw 30.8%
  • Genoa 23.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeUnder 3.5Odds 1.1785%Won
  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2679%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.4270%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.9234%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.1785%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6262%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LazioGenoa
Goals scored (avg)
2.71.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.3
Wins
94
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lazio8W 2D 0L in last 10
  • 1 NovLazio2 – 1CagliariW
  • 27 OctSassuolo2 – 6LazioW
  • 24 OctLazio2 – 1ParmaW
  • 18 OctJuventus0 – 3LazioW
  • 11 OctLazio3 – 1MonzaW
  • 3 OctLazio3 – 3Juve StabiaD
  • 27 SeptLazio2 – 0ArezzoW
  • 19 SeptVenezia0 – 2LazioW
  • 12 SeptLazio2 – 2AC MilanD
  • 7 SeptUdinese1 – 2LazioW
Genoa5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovLecce1 – 2GenoaW
  • 28 OctGenoa2 – 0JuventusW
  • 25 OctGenoa1 – 0VeneziaW
  • 17 OctAS Roma2 – 0GenoaL
  • 10 OctGenoa2 – 1FiorentinaW
  • 2 OctRapid2 – 0GenoaL
  • 20 SeptParma2 – 1GenoaL
  • 15 SeptGenoa1 – 0SudtirolW
  • 12 SeptGenoa1 – 1FrosinoneD
  • 4 SeptGenoa1 – 4ComoL
H2H
Head to headLazio 7W · 0D · Genoa 2W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 30 JanLazio3 – 2Genoa
  • 29 SeptGenoa0 – 3Lazio
  • 23 AprGenoa0 – 2Lazio
  • 27 OctLazio3 – 0Genoa
  • 19 AprGenoa0 – 1Lazio
  • 5 DecLazio1 – 0Genoa
  • 27 AugLazio0 – 1Genoa
  • 27 JulGenoa4 – 1Lazio
  • 10 AprGenoa1 – 4Lazio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Lazio2.14
Draw3.2
Genoa4.24

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Lazio

Chance46%
Odds2.14

Draw

Chance30.8%
Odds3.2

Genoa

Chance23.2%
Odds4.24

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.17

LazioGenoa
Recent form62%38%
Attack71%29%
Defence53%47%
Goals model71%29%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall66%34%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Lazio scored 2.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Lazio conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

Lazio vs Genoa: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Lazio meet Genoa in the Italy, Serie A on 30 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lazio at 2.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lazio vs Genoa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lazio vs Genoa match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lazio vs Genoa?

Lazio is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 46%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.