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Lazio vs AC Milan Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 12 Sept 2026

Lazio

1st in table · 28 pts

WWWWW

Sat, 12 Sept 2026·17:00

2 : 2

Full timeTip: Under 3.5 · 1.19

AC Milan

5th in table · 21 pts

LWLWL

Win probability

28.8%Lazio29.5%Draw41.7%AC Milan

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Lazio

Lazio vs AC Milan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.19
Confidence84.03%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lazio 28.8%
  • Draw 29.5%
  • AC Milan 41.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeUnder 3.5Odds 1.1984%Lost
  • DrawsXOdds 3.3269%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.3972%Won
  • corners ouOver 6Odds 1.1984%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.1984%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.9734%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LazioAC Milan
Goals scored (avg)
2.81.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.5
Wins
96
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lazio8W 1D 0L in last 9
  • 1 NovLazio2 – 1CagliariW
  • 27 OctSassuolo2 – 6LazioW
  • 24 OctLazio2 – 1ParmaW
  • 18 OctJuventus0 – 3LazioW
  • 11 OctLazio3 – 1MonzaW
  • 3 OctLazio3 – 3Juve StabiaD
  • 27 SeptLazio2 – 0ArezzoW
  • 19 SeptVenezia0 – 2LazioW
  • 7 SeptUdinese1 – 2LazioW
AC Milan5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 5 NovAC Milan0 – 2Ferencvarosi TCL
  • 31 OctAC Milan3 – 1InterW
  • 28 OctAC Milan2 – 4BolognaL
  • 25 OctUdinese0 – 2AC MilanW
  • 22 OctBournemouth3 – 0AC MilanL
  • 18 OctAC Milan3 – 2AtalantaW
  • 15 OctRed Bull Salzburg0 – 4AC MilanW
  • 11 OctSassuolo1 – 1AC MilanD
  • 20 SeptAC Milan3 – 0LecceW
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaL
H2H
Head to headLazio 4W · 1D · AC Milan 4W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 15 MarLazio1 – 0AC Milan
  • 4 DecLazio1 – 0AC Milan
  • 29 NovAC Milan1 – 0Lazio
  • 2 MarAC Milan1 – 2Lazio
  • 31 AugLazio2 – 2AC Milan
  • 1 MarLazio0 – 1AC Milan
  • 30 SeptAC Milan2 – 0Lazio
  • 6 MayAC Milan2 – 0Lazio
  • 24 JanLazio4 – 0AC Milan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Lazio3.42
Draw3.34
AC Milan2.36

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Lazio

Chance28.8%
Odds3.42

Draw

Chance29.5%
Odds3.34

AC Milan

Chance41.7%
Odds2.36

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.19

LazioAC Milan
Recent form61%39%
Attack61%39%
Defence57%43%
Goals model61%39%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall41%59%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Lazio scored 2.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Lazio conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Lazio vs AC Milan: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Lazio meet AC Milan in the Italy, Serie A on 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 2.36. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lazio vs AC Milan FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lazio vs AC Milan match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lazio vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.36. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.