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Italy vs Belgium Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Fri, 25 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueFri, 25 Sept 2026

Italy

2nd in table · 7 pts

WWWDW

Fri, 25 Sept 202619:45

0 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.38

Belgium

3rd in table · 6 pts

WLLWL

Pre-match win probability

43.7%Italy26.6%Draw29.7%Belgium

Our prediction

1X · Italy

Italy vs Belgium listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence72.46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Italy 43.7%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Belgium 29.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.3872%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ItalyBelgium
Goals scored (avg)
1.82
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.3
Wins
22
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Italy6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 5 OctItaly3 – 1TürkiyeW
  • 2 OctFrance1 – 1ItalyD
  • 28 SeptTürkiye1 – 4ItalyW
  • 7 JunGreece0 – 1ItalyW
  • 3 JunLuxembourg0 – 1ItalyW
  • 31 MarBosnia & Herzegovina1 – 1ItalyD
  • 26 MarItaly2 – 0Northern IrelandW
  • 16 NovItaly1 – 4NorwayL
  • 13 NovMoldova0 – 2ItalyW
Belgium4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 5 OctFrance4 – 1BelgiumL
  • 2 OctBelgium3 – 0TürkiyeW
  • 28 SeptBelgium0 – 1FranceL
  • 10 JulSpain2 – 1BelgiumL
  • 7 JulUSA1 – 4BelgiumW
  • 1 JulBelgium3 – 2SenegalW
  • 27 JunNew Zealand1 – 5BelgiumW
  • 21 JunBelgium0 – 0IranD
  • 15 JunBelgium1 – 1EgyptD
H2H
Head to headItaly 4W · 1D · Belgium 0W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 14 NovBelgium0 – 1Italy
  • 10 OctItaly2 – 2Belgium
  • 10 OctItaly2 – 1Belgium
  • 2 JulBelgium1 – 2Italy
  • 13 JunBelgium0 – 2Italy

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Italy2.22
Draw3.64
Belgium3.26

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Italy

Chance43.7%
Odds2.22

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.64

Belgium

Chance29.7%
Odds3.26

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.38

ItalyBelgium
Recent form59%41%
Attack47%53%
Defence55%45%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head90%10%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Italy scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Italy conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Over 2.5 goals in 3 of those 9.

Italy vs Belgium: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Fri, 25 Sept 2026

Italy meet Belgium in the World, UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Italy at 2.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Italy vs Belgium FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Italy vs Belgium match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 25 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Italy vs Belgium?

Italy is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.