Match dossier

Italy U21 vs Poland U21 Predictions

World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Mon, 5 Oct 2026 · 17:15 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy U21

1st in table · 27 pts

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Mon, 5 Oct 202617:15

6 : 2

Full timeTip: GG · 1.69

Poland U21

2nd in table · 27 pts

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

51.2%Italy U2124.1%Draw24.7%Poland U21

Our prediction

GG · Italy U21

Italy U21 vs Poland U21 listed tip from the board.

Odds1.69
Confidence59.17%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Italy U21 51.2%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Poland U21 24.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6959%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.1232%Won
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.4469%Won

Season statistics

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Italy U21Poland U21
Goals scored (avg)
2.82.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.40.2
Wins
99
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Italy U218W 0D 1L in last 9
  • 1 OctArmenia U210 – 1Italy U21W
  • 8 JunItaly U211 – 0Albania U21W
  • 31 MarSweden U210 – 4Italy U21W
  • 26 MarItaly U214 – 0North Macedonia U21W
  • 18 NovMontenegro U211 – 4Italy U21W
  • 14 NovPoland U212 – 1Italy U21L
  • 14 OctItaly U215 – 1Armenia U21W
  • 10 OctItaly U214 – 0Sweden U21W
  • 9 SeptNorth Macedonia U210 – 1Italy U21W
Poland U219W 0D 0L in last 9
  • 30 SeptPoland U213 – 0Sweden U21W
  • 31 MarMontenegro U210 – 1Poland U21W
  • 27 MarPoland U214 – 1Armenia U21W
  • 18 NovNorth Macedonia U210 – 1Poland U21W
  • 14 NovPoland U212 – 1Italy U21W
  • 14 OctSweden U210 – 6Poland U21W
  • 10 OctPoland U212 – 0Montenegro U21W
  • 9 SeptArmenia U210 – 4Poland U21W
  • 5 SeptPoland U213 – 0North Macedonia U21W
H2H
Head to headItaly U21 0W · 0D · Poland U21 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 14 NovPoland U212 – 1Italy U21

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Italy U211.86
Draw3.96
Poland U213.86

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Italy U21

Chance51.2%
Odds1.86

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.96

Poland U21

Chance24.7%
Odds3.86

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.69

Italy U21Poland U21
Recent form47%53%
Attack49%51%
Defence48%52%
Goals model49%51%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Italy U21 scored 2.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Italy U21 conceded 0.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Italy U21 vs Poland U21: prediction & preview

World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Italy U21 meet Poland U21 in the World, UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification on 5 October 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 6–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Italy U21 at 1.86. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Italy U21 vs Poland U21 FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Italy U21 vs Poland U21 match?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Italy U21 vs Poland U21?

Italy U21 is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.86. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.