Match dossier

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli Predictions

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · Fri, 14 Aug 2026 · 17:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Germany · 2. BundesligaFri, 14 Aug 2026

Holstein Kiel

17th in table · 8 pts

LDWDL

Fri, 14 Aug 202617:30

2 : 2

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.67

FC St. Pauli

8th in table · 12 pts

DWDDL

Pre-match win probability

39.9%Holstein Kiel27.2%Draw33%FC St. Pauli

Our prediction

1 · Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence59.88%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Holstein Kiel 39.9%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • FC St. Pauli 33%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.6760%Won
  • corners ouOver 9.5Odds 1.6760%Lost

Season statistics

2. Bundesliga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
Goals scored (avg)
11
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2
Wins
12
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Holstein Kiel2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovSpVgg Greuther Fürth1 – 0Holstein KielL
  • 28 OctHolstein Kiel1 – 11899 HoffenheimD
  • 25 OctHolstein Kiel3 – 0Dynamo DresdenW
  • 16 OctHolstein Kiel0 – 0Hertha BSCD
  • 9 OctEintracht Braunschweig1 – 0Holstein KielL
  • 3 OctHolstein Kiel3 – 1ViborgW
  • 19 SeptHolstein Kiel1 – 1VfL OsnabrückD
  • 13 Sept1. FC Heidenheim1 – 0Holstein KielL
  • 5 SeptHolstein Kiel2 – 21. FC NürnbergD
  • 30 Aug1. FC Magdeburg2 – 0Holstein KielL
FC St. Pauli2W 5D 3L in last 10
  • 1 NovFC St. Pauli1 – 31. FC NürnbergL
  • 23 OctSV Darmstadt 980 – 0FC St. PauliD
  • 17 OctHannover 961 – 1FC St. PauliD
  • 11 OctFC St. Pauli2 – 0Karlsruher SCW
  • 3 OctFC St. Pauli1 – 1Borussia MönchengladbachD
  • 20 SeptEnergie Cottbus1 – 1FC St. PauliD
  • 12 SeptFC St. Pauli1 – 0VfL WolfsburgW
  • 4 SeptArminia Bielefeld2 – 2FC St. PauliD
  • 30 AugFC St. Pauli1 – 21. FC KaiserslauternL
  • 23 AugRot-Weiß Essen2 – 0FC St. PauliL
H2H
Head to headHolstein Kiel 2W · 1D · FC St. Pauli 6W · 3.9 goals a game
  • 12 AprHolstein Kiel1 – 2FC St. Pauli
  • 29 NovFC St. Pauli3 – 1Holstein Kiel
  • 23 FebHolstein Kiel3 – 4FC St. Pauli
  • 17 SeptFC St. Pauli5 – 1Holstein Kiel
  • 19 MayHolstein Kiel3 – 4FC St. Pauli
  • 8 NovFC St. Pauli0 – 0Holstein Kiel
  • 25 JunHolstein Kiel2 – 0FC St. Pauli
  • 17 DecHolstein Kiel3 – 0FC St. Pauli
  • 25 JulFC St. Pauli3 – 0Holstein Kiel

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Holstein Kiel2.35
Draw3.45
FC St. Pauli2.84

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Holstein Kiel

Chance39.9%
Odds2.35

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.45

FC St. Pauli

Chance33%
Odds2.84

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.67

Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
Recent form48%52%
Attack50%50%
Defence53%47%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli: prediction & preview

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · Fri, 14 Aug 2026

Holstein Kiel meet FC St. Pauli in the Germany, 2. Bundesliga on 14 August 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Holstein Kiel at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 14 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli?

Holstein Kiel is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.