Match dossier

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Fri, 16 Oct 2026 · 19:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Heerenveen

7th in table · 18 pts

WLWWW

Fri, 16 Oct 2026·19:00

4 : 0

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.65

Excelsior

15th in table · 11 pts

DLLWL

Win probability

56.1%Heerenveen23.7%Draw20.2%Excelsior

Our prediction

1 · Heerenveen

Heerenveen vs Excelsior listed tip from the board.

Odds1.65
Confidence60.61%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Heerenveen 56.1%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Excelsior 20.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Home Win1Odds 1.6561%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4569%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5Odds 2.0748%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.1746%Lost

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

HeerenveenExcelsior
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.22.4
Wins
53
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Heerenveen4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctHeerenveen1 – 0NEC NijmegenW
  • 28 OctExcelsior Maassluis0 – 2HeerenveenW
  • 24 OctADO Den Haag2 – 3HeerenveenW
  • 9 OctPSV Eindhoven2 – 0HeerenveenL
  • 19 SeptSparta Rotterdam0 – 4HeerenveenW
  • 13 SeptHeerenveen0 – 0TelstarD
  • 6 SeptHeerenveen2 – 3AZ AlkmaarL
  • 30 AugWillem II2 – 2HeerenveenD
  • 22 AugHeerenveen0 – 2PEC ZwolleL
Excelsior3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovExcelsior0 – 9TwenteL
  • 28 OctMVV0 – 3ExcelsiorW
  • 25 OctFortuna Sittard1 – 0ExcelsiorL
  • 11 OctExcelsior1 – 5GroningenL
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 13 SeptExcelsior1 – 2UtrechtL
  • 8 SeptNEC Nijmegen2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 5 SeptWillem II0 – 3ExcelsiorW
  • 29 AugExcelsior2 – 1Sparta RotterdamW
H2H
Head to headHeerenveen 5W · 1D · Excelsior 2W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 7 MarExcelsior1 – 2Heerenveen
  • 4 OctHeerenveen2 – 1Excelsior
  • 19 JanExcelsior3 – 0Heerenveen
  • 23 SeptHeerenveen0 – 3Excelsior
  • 13 MayHeerenveen0 – 0Excelsior
  • 5 NovExcelsior0 – 1Heerenveen
  • 30 JulHeerenveen3 – 1Excelsior
  • 30 OctExcelsior0 – 3Heerenveen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Heerenveen1.71
Draw4.04
Excelsior4.74

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Heerenveen

Chance56.1%
Odds1.71

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds4.04

Excelsior

Chance20.2%
Odds4.74

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.65

HeerenveenExcelsior
Recent form56%44%
Attack50%50%
Defence75%25%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head69%31%
Overall74%26%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Heerenveen scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Heerenveen conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Heerenveen vs Excelsior: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Fri, 16 Oct 2026

Heerenveen meet Excelsior in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Heerenveen at 1.71. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Heerenveen vs Excelsior FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Heerenveen vs Excelsior match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 16 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Heerenveen vs Excelsior?

Heerenveen is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.71. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.