Match dossier

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 6 Sept 2026 · 13:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Heerenveen

7th in table · 18 pts

LWWWW

Sun, 6 Sept 202613:30

2 : 3

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 4.50

AZ Alkmaar

5th in table · 20 pts

WDWLL

Pre-match win probability

22.7%Heerenveen22.7%Draw54.5%AZ Alkmaar

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · Heerenveen

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar listed tip from the board.

Odds4.50
Confidence22.22%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Heerenveen 22.7%
  • Draw 22.7%
  • AZ Alkmaar 54.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 4.5022%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.4071%Won

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

HeerenveenAZ Alkmaar
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.1
Wins
56
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Heerenveen5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctHeerenveen1 – 0NEC NijmegenW
  • 28 OctExcelsior Maassluis0 – 2HeerenveenW
  • 24 OctADO Den Haag2 – 3HeerenveenW
  • 16 OctHeerenveen4 – 0ExcelsiorW
  • 9 OctPSV Eindhoven2 – 0HeerenveenL
  • 19 SeptSparta Rotterdam0 – 4HeerenveenW
  • 13 SeptHeerenveen0 – 0TelstarD
  • 30 AugWillem II2 – 2HeerenveenD
  • 22 AugHeerenveen0 – 2PEC ZwolleL
AZ Alkmaar3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarL
  • 25 OctAZ Alkmaar0 – 2TwenteL
  • 22 OctArarat-Armenia0 – 4AZ AlkmaarW
  • 18 OctCambuur2 – 2AZ AlkmaarD
  • 15 OctAZ Alkmaar2 – 1Hapoel Beer ShevaW
  • 10 OctFeyenoord2 – 0AZ AlkmaarL
  • 20 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 – 0TelstarW
  • 16 SeptSunderland1 – 0AZ AlkmaarL
  • 11 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 – 1Willem IID
H2H
Head to headHeerenveen 2W · 2D · AZ Alkmaar 5W · 4.1 goals a game
  • 12 AprAZ Alkmaar3 – 0Heerenveen
  • 23 NovHeerenveen3 – 1AZ Alkmaar
  • 22 MayAZ Alkmaar4 – 1Heerenveen
  • 2 MarHeerenveen3 – 1AZ Alkmaar
  • 14 SeptAZ Alkmaar9 – 1Heerenveen
  • 28 JanHeerenveen2 – 2AZ Alkmaar
  • 21 OctAZ Alkmaar3 – 0Heerenveen
  • 1 AprAZ Alkmaar1 – 1Heerenveen
  • 14 JanHeerenveen0 – 2AZ Alkmaar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Heerenveen4.22
Draw4.22
AZ Alkmaar1.76

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Heerenveen

Chance22.7%
Odds4.22

Draw

Chance22.7%
Odds4.22

AZ Alkmaar

Chance54.5%
Odds1.76

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 4.50

HeerenveenAZ Alkmaar
Recent form61%39%
Attack62%38%
Defence53%47%
Goals model62%38%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall29%71%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Heerenveen scored 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Heerenveen conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Heerenveen meet AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 6 September 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 1.76. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar match?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.76. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.