Match dossier

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

Germany · Bundesliga · Sun, 6 Sept 2026 · 14:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Germany · BundesligaSun, 6 Sept 2026

Hamburger SV

15th in table · 9 pts

WWLLL

Sun, 6 Sept 202614:30

0 : 5

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.21

FSV Mainz 05

9th in table · 10 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

33.7%Hamburger SV26.9%Draw39.4%FSV Mainz 05

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 listed tip from the board.

Odds1.21
Confidence82.64%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Hamburger SV 33.7%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • FSV Mainz 05 39.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 1.5Odds 1.2183%Won
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4668%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2183%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.7956%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.0Odds 3.7027%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6262%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3574%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.4071%Lost

Season statistics

Bundesliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 05
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.92.1
Wins
33
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Hamburger SV4W 0D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovEintracht Frankfurt3 – 1Hamburger SVL
  • 27 OctHamburger SV1 – 3Eintracht FrankfurtL
  • 24 OctSC Paderborn 071 – 0Hamburger SVL
  • 17 OctHamburger SV1 – 0VfB StuttgartW
  • 10 Oct1899 Hoffenheim2 – 3Hamburger SVW
  • 4 OctHamburger SV2 – 0FC CopenhagenW
  • 19 SeptHamburger SV2 – 11. FC KölnW
  • 13 SeptRB Leipzig5 – 0Hamburger SVL
  • 29 AugBorussia Dortmund2 – 0Hamburger SVL
FSV Mainz 053W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 30 OctSV Elversberg4 – 1FSV Mainz 05L
  • 27 OctVfL Bochum2 – 0FSV Mainz 05L
  • 24 OctFSV Mainz 052 – 3Werder BremenL
  • 17 OctFC Schalke 040 – 1FSV Mainz 05W
  • 10 OctFSV Mainz 053 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 3 OctWaldhof Mannheim0 – 3FSV Mainz 05W
  • 19 SeptBorussia Mönchengladbach3 – 4FSV Mainz 05W
  • 12 SeptFSV Mainz 051 – 3Eintracht FrankfurtL
  • 29 AugFSV Mainz 050 – 0SC Paderborn 07D
H2H
Head to headHamburger SV 2W · 4D · FSV Mainz 05 3W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 20 FebFSV Mainz 051 – 1Hamburger SV
  • 5 OctHamburger SV4 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 3 MarHamburger SV0 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 14 OctFSV Mainz 053 – 2Hamburger SV
  • 7 MayHamburger SV0 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 17 DecFSV Mainz 053 – 1Hamburger SV
  • 30 AprFSV Mainz 050 – 0Hamburger SV
  • 5 DecHamburger SV1 – 3FSV Mainz 05
  • 3 MayFSV Mainz 051 – 2Hamburger SV

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Hamburger SV2.92
Draw3.66
FSV Mainz 052.5

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Hamburger SV

Chance33.7%
Odds2.92

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.66

FSV Mainz 05

Chance39.4%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.21

Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 05
Recent form55%45%
Attack39%61%
Defence55%45%
Goals model39%61%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall46%54%

Trends

Trend · Bundesliga

Hamburger SV scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Hamburger SV conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sun, 6 Sept 2026

Hamburger SV meet FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany, Bundesliga on 6 September 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 match?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 6 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.