Match dossier

Guinea vs Kenya Predictions

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Thu, 1 Oct 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Guinea

2nd in table · 3 pts

DDLLL

Thu, 1 Oct 202617:00

vs

Not startedTip: X · 3.16

Kenya

4th in table · 1 pts

WDWDD

Pre-match win probability

54.8%Guinea29.3%Draw15.9%Kenya

Our prediction

X · Guinea

Guinea vs Kenya listed tip from the board.

Odds3.16
Confidence62.00%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guinea 54.8%
  • Draw 29.3%
  • Kenya 15.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.1662%Pending

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GuineaKenya
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.6
Wins
10
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Guinea2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 26 SeptSouth Africa2 – 1GuineaL
  • 4 JunNorthern Ireland1 – 0GuineaL
  • 31 MarGuinea0 – 1BeninL
  • 27 MarGuinea2 – 2TogoD
  • 18 NovGuinea1 – 1NigerD
  • 15 NovGuinea2 – 0LiberiaW
  • 14 OctGuinea2 – 2BotswanaD
  • 9 OctMozambique1 – 2GuineaW
  • 8 SeptGuinea0 – 0AlgeriaD
Kenya2W 4D 1L in last 7
  • 5 OctRwanda0 – 0KenyaD
  • 26 SeptKenya1 – 1EritreaD
  • 7 JunKenya4 – 0LesothoW
  • 4 JunLesotho1 – 1KenyaD
  • 30 MarGrenada0 – 3KenyaW
  • 27 MarKenya1 – 1EstoniaD
  • 18 NovSenegal8 – 0KenyaL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Guinea1.69
Draw3.16
Kenya5.84

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Guinea

Chance54.8%
Odds1.69

Draw

Chance29.3%
Odds3.16

Kenya

Chance15.9%
Odds5.84

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.16

GuineaKenya
Recent form50%50%
Attack44%56%
Defence58%42%
Goals model44%56%
Overall78%22%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Guinea scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Guinea conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Guinea vs Kenya: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Thu, 1 Oct 2026

Guinea meet Kenya in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 1 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guinea at 1.69. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guinea vs Kenya FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Guinea vs Kenya match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 1 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Guinea vs Kenya?

Guinea is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.69. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.