Match dossier

Guimaraes vs Arouca Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 8 Aug 2026 · 18:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Guimaraes

13th in table · 9 pts

WLWWD

Sat, 8 Aug 202618:00

0 : 1

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.25

Arouca

5th in table · 20 pts

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

50.6%Guimaraes26.4%Draw23%Arouca

Our prediction

1X · Guimaraes

Guimaraes vs Arouca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence80.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guimaraes 50.6%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Arouca 23%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • free1XOdds 1.2580%Lost
  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2580%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GuimaraesArouca
Goals scored (avg)
11.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61
Wins
26
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Guimaraes4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 2 NovGIL Vicente0 – 0Vitória SCD
  • 23 OctVitória SC5 – 0MaritimoW
  • 17 OctRecreativa de Lamelas0 – 1Vitória SCW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCL
  • 25 SeptChaves0 – 1Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 12 SeptAcademico Viseu2 – 1Vitória SCL
  • 6 SeptVitória SC0 – 0Casa PiaD
  • 31 AugSC Braga1 – 0Vitória SCL
  • 23 AugVitória SC1 – 0NacionalW
Arouca6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 1 NovArouca1 – 0NacionalW
  • 24 OctAlverca0 – 1AroucaW
  • 18 OctCF Os Belenenses3 – 4AroucaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaW
  • 19 SeptSporting CP2 – 2AroucaD
  • 13 SeptArouca1 – 2Santa ClaraL
  • 7 SeptEstoril0 – 0AroucaD
  • 29 AugArouca2 – 1MaritimoW
  • 23 AugFC Porto2 – 0AroucaL
  • 16 AugArouca4 – 0MoreirenseW
H2H
Head to headGuimaraes 3W · 3D · Arouca 3W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 7 FebArouca3 – 2Vitória SC
  • 30 AugVitória SC1 – 1Arouca
  • 18 JanVitória SC2 – 2Arouca
  • 12 AugArouca0 – 1Vitória SC
  • 18 MayArouca1 – 3Vitória SC
  • 15 JanVitória SC2 – 1Arouca
  • 11 MarVitória SC0 – 2Arouca
  • 18 SeptArouca2 – 2Vitória SC
  • 19 FebVitória SC1 – 3Arouca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Guimaraes1.92
Draw3.68
Arouca4.22

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Guimaraes

Chance50.6%
Odds1.92

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.68

Arouca

Chance23%
Odds4.22

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.25

GuimaraesArouca
Recent form43%57%
Attack38%62%
Defence55%45%
Goals model38%62%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Guimaraes scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Guimaraes conceded 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Guimaraes vs Arouca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

Guimaraes meet Arouca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 8 August 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guimaraes at 1.92. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guimaraes vs Arouca FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Guimaraes vs Arouca match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Guimaraes vs Arouca?

Guimaraes is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.92. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.