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Match dossier

Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia Predictions

World · CONCACAF Nations League · Mon, 5 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · CONCACAF Nations LeagueMon, 5 Oct 2026

Guadeloupe

LLWDL

Mon, 5 Oct 202620:00

0 : 1

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.33

St. Lucia

LLLWW

Pre-match win probability

27.8%Guadeloupe24.1%Draw48.1%St. Lucia

Our prediction

X2 · Guadeloupe

Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence75.19%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guadeloupe 27.8%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • St. Lucia 48.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3375%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6262%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.5067%Won
  • corners ouOver 8.5Odds 1.9851%Lost

Season statistics

CONCACAF Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GuadeloupeSt. Lucia
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.82.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Guadeloupe4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 2 OctSt. Lucia3 – 0GuadeloupeL
  • 28 SeptGuadeloupe2 – 2BarbadosD
  • 25 SeptBermuda1 – 2GuadeloupeW
  • 25 JunGuadeloupe2 – 3GuatemalaL
  • 21 JunJamaica2 – 1GuadeloupeL
  • 17 JunPanama5 – 2GuadeloupeL
  • 26 MarNicaragua0 – 1GuadeloupeW
  • 22 MarGuadeloupe1 – 0NicaraguaW
  • 19 NovGuadeloupe1 – 0Cayman IslandsW
St. Lucia3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 2 OctSt. Lucia3 – 0GuadeloupeW
  • 29 SeptSt. Lucia5 – 2BermudaW
  • 26 SeptBarbados2 – 0St. LuciaL
  • 27 MarAzerbaijan6 – 1St. LuciaL
  • 16 NovSt. Vincent / Grenadines3 – 1St. LuciaL
  • 12 NovCuba3 – 0St. LuciaL
  • 10 JunSt. Lucia2 – 1BarbadosW
  • 7 JunCuraçao4 – 0St. LuciaL
  • 19 NovCuraçao4 – 1St. LuciaL
H2H
Head to headGuadeloupe 1W · 0D · St. Lucia 2W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 2 OctSt. Lucia3 – 0Guadeloupe
  • 15 OctGuadeloupe2 – 0St. Lucia
  • 13 OctSt. Lucia2 – 1Guadeloupe

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Guadeloupe3.2
Draw3.7
St. Lucia1.85

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Guadeloupe

Chance27.8%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.7

St. Lucia

Chance48.1%
Odds1.85

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.33

GuadeloupeSt. Lucia
Recent form59%41%
Attack48%52%
Defence86%14%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall37%63%

Trends

Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

Guadeloupe scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

Guadeloupe conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · CONCACAF Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia: prediction & preview

World · CONCACAF Nations League · Mon, 5 Oct 2026

Guadeloupe meet St. Lucia in the World, CONCACAF Nations League on 5 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is St. Lucia at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 5 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia?

St. Lucia is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.