Match dossier

Groningen vs Ajax Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 15:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Groningen

8th in table · 15 pts

WWDLL

Sun, 18 Oct 202615:45

2 : 5

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.30

Ajax

2nd in table · 24 pts

DLWWW

Pre-match win probability

26.7%Groningen23%Draw50.3%Ajax

Our prediction

X2 · Groningen

Groningen vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds1.30
Confidence76.92%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Groningen 26.7%
  • Draw 23%
  • Ajax 50.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3077%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.3574%Won
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.4469%Won
  • corners ouOver 7Odds 1.1885%Lost

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GroningenAjax
Goals scored (avg)
22.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.2
Wins
47
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Groningen2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovGroningen2 – 3Sparta RotterdamL
  • 29 OctGroningen0 – 2EmmenL
  • 25 OctNEC Nijmegen2 – 2GroningenD
  • 11 OctExcelsior1 – 5GroningenW
  • 18 SeptGroningen3 – 0PEC ZwolleW
  • 12 SeptGO Ahead Eagles1 – 1GroningenD
  • 6 SeptGroningen2 – 2TwenteD
  • 28 AugGroningen2 – 3Fortuna SittardL
  • 23 AugPSV Eindhoven5 – 1GroningenL
Ajax5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarW
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIW
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxW
  • 5 SeptAjax1 – 3PSV EindhovenL
H2H
Head to headGroningen 1W · 1D · Ajax 7W · 3.9 goals a game
  • 21 MayAjax2 – 0Groningen
  • 7 MarGroningen3 – 1Ajax
  • 2 DecAjax2 – 0Groningen
  • 14 MayGroningen2 – 2Ajax
  • 6 OctAjax3 – 1Groningen
  • 16 MayGroningen2 – 3Ajax
  • 14 AugAjax6 – 1Groningen
  • 2 AprGroningen1 – 3Ajax
  • 25 SeptAjax3 – 0Groningen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Groningen3.6
Draw4.17
Ajax1.91

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Groningen

Chance26.7%
Odds3.6

Draw

Chance23%
Odds4.17

Ajax

Chance50.3%
Odds1.91

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.30

GroningenAjax
Recent form35%65%
Attack48%52%
Defence33%67%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall35%65%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Groningen scored 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Groningen conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Groningen vs Ajax: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

Groningen meet Ajax in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 18 October 2026 at 15:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Groningen vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Groningen vs Ajax match?

Kickoff is 15:45 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Groningen vs Ajax?

Ajax is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.