Match dossier

Grobiņa vs Riga Predictions

Latvia · Virsliga · Mon, 26 Oct 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Latvia · VirsligaMon, 26 Oct 2026

Grobiņa

8th in table · 29 pts

DDLWL

Mon, 26 Oct 202617:00

2 : 5

Full timeTip: Over 9.5 · 1.90

Riga

2nd in table · 83 pts

WDWDD

Pre-match win probability

8.1%Grobiņa14.3%Draw77.6%Riga

Our prediction

Over 9.5 · Grobiņa

Grobiņa vs Riga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.90
Confidence52.63%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Grobiņa 8.1%
  • Draw 14.3%
  • Riga 77.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 9.5Odds 1.9053%Lost

Season statistics

Virsliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GrobiņaRiga
Goals scored (avg)
11.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.70.7
Wins
625
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Grobiņa2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovRīgas FS3 – 0GrobiņaL
  • 17 OctGrobiņa3 – 2Ogre UnitedW
  • 10 OctSuper Nova2 – 1GrobiņaL
  • 20 SeptTukums1 – 1GrobiņaD
  • 12 SeptGrobiņa0 – 0FS JelgavaD
  • 6 SeptAuda1 – 0GrobiņaL
  • 29 AugGrobiņa1 – 0BFC DaugavpilsW
  • 21 AugFK Liepaja3 – 1GrobiņaL
  • 17 AugAuda3 – 2GrobiņaL
Riga5W 4D 0L in last 9
  • 1 NovOgre United0 – 0RigaD
  • 22 OctPafos1 – 1RigaD
  • 18 OctRiga2 – 1Super NovaW
  • 15 OctRiga1 – 1Kairat AlmatyD
  • 10 OctTukums0 – 2RigaW
  • 3 OctAris1 – 2RigaW
  • 19 SeptFS Jelgava0 – 1RigaW
  • 15 SeptSuper Nova0 – 1RigaW
  • 11 SeptRiga2 – 2AudaD
H2H
Head to headGrobiņa 0W · 1D · Riga 8W · 3.4 goals a game
  • 2 AugRiga4 – 0Grobiņa
  • 29 MayRiga2 – 0Grobiņa
  • 18 AprGrobiņa0 – 3Riga
  • 2 NovGrobiņa1 – 1Riga
  • 10 AugRiga2 – 0Grobiņa
  • 14 JunGrobiņa0 – 2Riga
  • 19 AprRiga3 – 0Grobiņa
  • 31 AugRiga6 – 1Grobiņa
  • 22 JunGrobiņa0 – 6Riga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Grobiņa11
Draw6.25
Riga1.15

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Grobiņa

Chance8.1%
Odds11

Draw

Chance14.3%
Odds6.25

Riga

Chance77.6%
Odds1.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 9.5 at 1.90

GrobiņaRiga
Recent form30%70%
Attack43%57%
Defence36%64%
Goals model43%57%
Head-to-head6%94%
Overall9%91%

Trends

Trend · Virsliga

Grobiņa scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Grobiņa conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Virsliga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Grobiņa vs Riga: prediction & preview

Latvia · Virsliga · Mon, 26 Oct 2026

Grobiņa meet Riga in the Latvia, Virsliga on 26 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Riga at 1.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Grobiņa vs Riga FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Grobiņa vs Riga match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 26 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Grobiņa vs Riga?

Riga is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.