Match dossier

Gremio vs Sao Paulo Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 8 Aug 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 8 Aug 2026

Gremio

17th in table · 37 pts

DLWWW

Sat, 8 Aug 202620:00

2 : 1

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.38

Sao Paulo

10th in table · 43 pts

LWWDL

Pre-match win probability

38.8%Gremio30.2%Draw30.9%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

1X · Gremio

Gremio vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence72.46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gremio 38.8%
  • Draw 30.2%
  • Sao Paulo 30.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.3872%Won
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.8056%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.5228%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GremioSao Paulo
Goals scored (avg)
1.20.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.3
Wins
912
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Gremio3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovGremio2 – 0Atletico-MGW
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 26 OctCoritiba0 – 1GremioW
  • 18 OctGremio2 – 4CruzeiroL
  • 11 OctGremio1 – 1InternacionalD
  • 7 OctRemo1 – 1GremioD
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptBotafogo3 – 2GremioL
  • 12 SeptGremio1 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
  • 8 SeptVitoria1 – 0GremioL
Sao Paulo3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 29 OctBahia3 – 2Sao PauloL
  • 24 OctMirassol1 – 1Sao PauloD
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaW
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaW
  • 8 OctCruzeiro2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosL
  • 20 SeptSao Paulo1 – 0InternacionalW
  • 16 SeptSao Paulo1 – 1Boca JuniorsD
  • 12 SeptPalmeiras2 – 0Sao PauloL
  • 9 SeptBoca Juniors1 – 0Sao PauloL
H2H
Head to headGremio 4W · 0D · Sao Paulo 5W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 12 FebSao Paulo2 – 0Gremio
  • 16 OctGremio2 – 0Sao Paulo
  • 18 MaySao Paulo2 – 1Gremio
  • 1 DecGremio2 – 1Sao Paulo
  • 18 JulSao Paulo1 – 0Gremio
  • 21 OctSao Paulo3 – 0Gremio
  • 4 JunGremio2 – 1Sao Paulo
  • 3 DecGremio3 – 0Sao Paulo
  • 15 AugSao Paulo2 – 1Gremio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Gremio2.47
Draw3.17
Sao Paulo3.1

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Gremio

Chance38.8%
Odds2.47

Draw

Chance30.2%
Odds3.17

Sao Paulo

Chance30.9%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.38

GremioSao Paulo
Recent form52%48%
Attack57%43%
Defence51%49%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall56%44%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Gremio scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Gremio conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Gremio vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

Gremio meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Serie A on 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gremio at 2.47. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gremio vs Sao Paulo FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Gremio vs Sao Paulo match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Gremio vs Sao Paulo?

Gremio is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.47. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.