Match dossier

Genoa vs Fiorentina Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 10 Oct 2026

Genoa

11th in table · 13 pts

LLWWW

Sat, 10 Oct 202614:00

2 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 2.0 · 2.98

Fiorentina

16th in table · 8 pts

DLLDW

Pre-match win probability

30.5%Genoa28.3%Draw41.2%Fiorentina

Our prediction

Over 2.0 · Genoa

Genoa vs Fiorentina listed tip from the board.

Odds2.98
Confidence33.56%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Genoa 30.5%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Fiorentina 41.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.9834%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.6760%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.0Odds 3.4729%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GenoaFiorentina
Goals scored (avg)
11.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.9
Wins
42
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Genoa4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovLecce1 – 2GenoaW
  • 28 OctGenoa2 – 0JuventusW
  • 25 OctGenoa1 – 0VeneziaW
  • 17 OctAS Roma2 – 0GenoaL
  • 2 OctRapid2 – 0GenoaL
  • 20 SeptParma2 – 1GenoaL
  • 15 SeptGenoa1 – 0SudtirolW
  • 12 SeptGenoa1 – 1FrosinoneD
  • 4 SeptGenoa1 – 4ComoL
Fiorentina3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 2 NovSassuolo2 – 4FiorentinaW
  • 29 OctFiorentina2 – 2AtalantaD
  • 25 OctInter2 – 1FiorentinaL
  • 18 OctFiorentina1 – 3ComoL
  • 20 SeptFiorentina1 – 1NapoliD
  • 15 SeptFiorentina3 – 0PisaW
  • 11 SeptVenezia2 – 4FiorentinaW
  • 5 SeptFiorentina1 – 2TorinoL
  • 29 AugFiorentina0 – 3FrosinoneL
H2H
Head to headGenoa 0W · 4D · Fiorentina 5W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 10 MayFiorentina0 – 0Genoa
  • 9 NovGenoa2 – 2Fiorentina
  • 2 FebFiorentina2 – 1Genoa
  • 31 OctGenoa0 – 1Fiorentina
  • 15 AprFiorentina1 – 1Genoa
  • 19 AugGenoa1 – 4Fiorentina
  • 17 JanFiorentina6 – 0Genoa
  • 18 SeptGenoa1 – 2Fiorentina
  • 3 AprGenoa1 – 1Fiorentina

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Genoa3.23
Draw3.48
Fiorentina2.39

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Genoa

Chance30.5%
Odds3.23

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.48

Fiorentina

Chance41.2%
Odds2.39

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.0 at 2.98

GenoaFiorentina
Recent form54%46%
Attack34%66%
Defence61%39%
Goals model34%66%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Genoa scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Genoa conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Genoa vs Fiorentina: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Genoa meet Fiorentina in the Italy, Serie A on 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fiorentina at 2.39. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Genoa vs Fiorentina FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Genoa vs Fiorentina match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Fiorentina is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.39. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.