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Genoa vs Ascoli Predictions

Italy · Coppa Italia · Sun, 16 Aug 2026 · 17:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Coppa ItaliaSun, 16 Aug 2026

Genoa

WLWWW

Sun, 16 Aug 202617:30

4 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.20

Ascoli

DDWWD

Pre-match win probability

66.5%Genoa20.9%Draw12.5%Ascoli

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Genoa

Genoa vs Ascoli listed tip from the board.

Odds1.20
Confidence83.33%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Genoa 66.5%
  • Draw 20.9%
  • Ascoli 12.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2083%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.5340%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3375%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3276%Lost

Season statistics

Coppa Italia · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GenoaAscoli
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.30.6

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Genoa5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 1 NovLecce1 – 2GenoaW
  • 28 OctGenoa2 – 0JuventusW
  • 25 OctGenoa1 – 0VeneziaW
  • 17 OctAS Roma2 – 0GenoaL
  • 10 OctGenoa2 – 1FiorentinaW
  • 2 OctRapid2 – 0GenoaL
  • 20 SeptParma2 – 1GenoaL
  • 15 SeptGenoa1 – 0SudtirolW
  • 12 SeptGenoa1 – 1FrosinoneD
  • 4 SeptGenoa1 – 4ComoL
Ascoli5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 1 NovArezzo0 – 0AscoliD
  • 27 OctAscoli2 – 0SampdoriaW
  • 24 OctCatanzaro1 – 6AscoliW
  • 17 OctAscoli1 – 1EmpoliD
  • 10 OctSudtirol0 – 0AscoliD
  • 19 SeptAscoli3 – 1AvellinoW
  • 12 SeptPadova1 – 0AscoliL
  • 5 SeptAscoli1 – 0BeneventoW
  • 29 AugAscoli1 – 1CarrareseD
  • 23 AugHellas Verona1 – 2AscoliW
H2H
Head to headGenoa 2W · 1D · Ascoli 0W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 6 MayGenoa2 – 1Ascoli
  • 11 DecAscoli0 – 0Genoa
  • 3 DecGenoa3 – 2Ascoli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Genoa1.4
Draw4.45
Ascoli7.43

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Genoa

Chance66.5%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance20.9%
Odds4.45

Ascoli

Chance12.5%
Odds7.43

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.20

GenoaAscoli
Recent form46%54%
Attack41%59%
Defence41%59%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head83%17%
Overall84%16%

Trends

Trend · Coppa Italia

Genoa scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Coppa Italia

Genoa conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Coppa Italia

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Coppa Italia

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Genoa vs Ascoli: prediction & preview

Italy · Coppa Italia · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Genoa meet Ascoli in the Italy, Coppa Italia on 16 August 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Genoa at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Genoa vs Ascoli FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Genoa vs Ascoli match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Genoa vs Ascoli?

Genoa is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.