Match dossier

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Predictions

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · 14:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 24 Oct 2026

FSV Mainz 05

9th in table · 10 pts

WLWLL

Sat, 24 Oct 202614:30

2 : 3

Full timeTip: 2 · 4.41

Werder Bremen

5th in table · 15 pts

LDDLW

Pre-match win probability

54.8%FSV Mainz 0522.9%Draw22.4%Werder Bremen

Our prediction

2 · FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen listed tip from the board.

Odds4.41
Confidence22.68%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FSV Mainz 05 54.8%
  • Draw 22.9%
  • Werder Bremen 22.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 4.4123%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5365%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.2744%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2481%Won

Season statistics

Bundesliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Goals scored (avg)
21.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.82.4
Wins
34
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FSV Mainz 054W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctSV Elversberg4 – 1FSV Mainz 05L
  • 27 OctVfL Bochum2 – 0FSV Mainz 05L
  • 17 OctFC Schalke 040 – 1FSV Mainz 05W
  • 10 OctFSV Mainz 053 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 3 OctWaldhof Mannheim0 – 3FSV Mainz 05W
  • 19 SeptBorussia Mönchengladbach3 – 4FSV Mainz 05W
  • 12 SeptFSV Mainz 051 – 3Eintracht FrankfurtL
  • 6 SeptHamburger SV0 – 5FSV Mainz 05W
  • 29 AugFSV Mainz 050 – 0SC Paderborn 07D
Werder Bremen3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctWerder Bremen2 – 01899 HoffenheimW
  • 27 OctBorussia Dortmund3 – 2Werder BremenL
  • 17 OctWerder Bremen2 – 2SC Paderborn 07D
  • 9 OctBorussia Dortmund2 – 2Werder BremenD
  • 2 OctTwente7 – 0Werder BremenL
  • 19 SeptWerder Bremen3 – 2FC AugsburgW
  • 12 Sept1. FC Köln1 – 1Werder BremenD
  • 5 SeptWerder Bremen3 – 1RB LeipzigW
  • 30 AugSC Freiburg4 – 1Werder BremenL
H2H
Head to headFSV Mainz 05 3W · 2D · Werder Bremen 4W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 15 MarWerder Bremen0 – 2FSV Mainz 05
  • 1 NovFSV Mainz 051 – 1Werder Bremen
  • 31 JanWerder Bremen1 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 15 SeptFSV Mainz 051 – 2Werder Bremen
  • 3 FebFSV Mainz 050 – 1Werder Bremen
  • 2 SeptWerder Bremen4 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 8 AprFSV Mainz 052 – 2Werder Bremen
  • 15 OctWerder Bremen0 – 2FSV Mainz 05
  • 21 AprWerder Bremen0 – 1FSV Mainz 05

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

FSV Mainz 051.8
Draw4.31
Werder Bremen4.41

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

FSV Mainz 05

Chance54.8%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance22.9%
Odds4.31

Werder Bremen

Chance22.4%
Odds4.41

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 4.41

FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Recent form52%48%
Attack53%47%
Defence67%33%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 scored 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

FSV Mainz 05 meet Werder Bremen in the Germany, Bundesliga on 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen match?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?

FSV Mainz 05 is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.