Match dossier

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 14:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 10 Oct 2026

FSV Mainz 05

9th in table · 10 pts

WWLLL

Sat, 10 Oct 202614:30

3 : 4

Full timeTip: BTS · 1.35

Bayer Leverkusen

6th in table · 13 pts

WWLWL

Pre-match win probability

32.7%FSV Mainz 0524.7%Draw42.6%Bayer Leverkusen

Our prediction

BTS · FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.35
Confidence42.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FSV Mainz 05 32.7%
  • Draw 24.7%
  • Bayer Leverkusen 42.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeBTSOdds 1.35Won
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4469%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.3972%Won
  • Banker of the DayX2Odds 1.4469%Won
  • corners ouOver 9.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.5764%Won

Season statistics

Bundesliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Goals scored (avg)
1.92.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.3
Wins
34
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FSV Mainz 054W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctSV Elversberg4 – 1FSV Mainz 05L
  • 27 OctVfL Bochum2 – 0FSV Mainz 05L
  • 24 OctFSV Mainz 052 – 3Werder BremenL
  • 17 OctFC Schalke 040 – 1FSV Mainz 05W
  • 3 OctWaldhof Mannheim0 – 3FSV Mainz 05W
  • 19 SeptBorussia Mönchengladbach3 – 4FSV Mainz 05W
  • 12 SeptFSV Mainz 051 – 3Eintracht FrankfurtL
  • 6 SeptHamburger SV0 – 5FSV Mainz 05W
  • 29 AugFSV Mainz 050 – 0SC Paderborn 07D
Bayer Leverkusen6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctBayer Leverkusen2 – 4VfB StuttgartL
  • 28 OctBayer Leverkusen5 – 21. FC NürnbergW
  • 25 Oct1899 Hoffenheim3 – 0Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 22 OctOFI0 – 2Bayer LeverkusenW
  • 18 OctBayer Leverkusen2 – 1SC FreiburgW
  • 15 OctLech Poznan0 – 4Bayer LeverkusenW
  • 20 SeptBayer Leverkusen2 – 0RB LeipzigW
  • 16 SeptBayer Leverkusen2 – 0CeljeW
  • 12 SeptFC Augsburg2 – 2Bayer LeverkusenD
H2H
Head to headFSV Mainz 05 2W · 2D · Bayer Leverkusen 5W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 28 FebBayer Leverkusen1 – 1FSV Mainz 05
  • 18 OctFSV Mainz 053 – 4Bayer Leverkusen
  • 17 MayFSV Mainz 052 – 2Bayer Leverkusen
  • 14 JanBayer Leverkusen1 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 23 FebBayer Leverkusen2 – 1FSV Mainz 05
  • 30 SeptFSV Mainz 050 – 3Bayer Leverkusen
  • 19 FebBayer Leverkusen2 – 3FSV Mainz 05
  • 27 AugFSV Mainz 050 – 3Bayer Leverkusen
  • 18 FebFSV Mainz 053 – 2Bayer Leverkusen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

FSV Mainz 053.01
Draw3.98
Bayer Leverkusen2.31

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

FSV Mainz 05

Chance32.7%
Odds3.01

Draw

Chance24.7%
Odds3.98

Bayer Leverkusen

Chance42.6%
Odds2.31

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: BTS at 1.35

FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Recent form41%59%
Attack45%55%
Defence43%57%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

FSV Mainz 05 meet Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany, Bundesliga on 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayer Leverkusen at 2.31. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen match?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.31. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.