Match dossier

FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau Predictions

Switzerland · Challenge League · Fri, 18 Sept 2026 · 19:15 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

FC Winterthur

2nd in table · 24 pts

WLLWW

Fri, 18 Sept 202619:15

2 : 1

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.32

FC Aarau

6th in table · 15 pts

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

41.1%FC Winterthur25.9%Draw33%FC Aarau

Our prediction

1X · FC Winterthur

FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau listed tip from the board.

Odds1.32
Confidence75.76%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Winterthur 41.1%
  • Draw 25.9%
  • FC Aarau 33%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.3276%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4071%Won
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.6262%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.5128%Lost

Season statistics

Challenge League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC WinterthurFC Aarau
Goals scored (avg)
2.81.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.9
Wins
74
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Winterthur6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovFC WIL 19000 – 3FC WinterthurW
  • 23 OctFC Winterthur4 – 0Stade NyonnaisW
  • 17 OctFC Winterthur0 – 1FC LuzernL
  • 9 OctNeuchatel Xamax FC3 – 0FC WinterthurL
  • 3 OctFC Winterthur7 – 3FC Basel 1893W
  • 30 SeptSeuzach1 – 4FC WinterthurW
  • 11 SeptÉtoile Carouge0 – 1FC WinterthurW
  • 4 SeptFC Winterthur4 – 0Neuchatel Xamax FCW
  • 1 SeptStade Nyonnais2 – 2FC WinterthurD
FC Aarau3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctNeuchatel Xamax FC1 – 3FC AarauW
  • 24 OctFC Aarau1 – 2Étoile CarougeL
  • 18 OctFC Aarau2 – 0FC ZurichW
  • 9 OctStade Nyonnais2 – 1FC AarauL
  • 2 OctFC Aarau1 – 2BSC Young BoysL
  • 24 SeptGrasshoppers4 – 1FC AarauL
  • 12 SeptFC Aarau2 – 2SC KriensD
  • 4 SeptFC Aarau3 – 2RapperswilW
  • 31 AugFC WIL 19002 – 2FC AarauD
H2H
Head to headFC Winterthur 4W · 3D · FC Aarau 2W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 17 SeptFC Aarau1 – 2FC Winterthur
  • 8 JulFC Winterthur2 – 0FC Aarau
  • 8 AprFC Aarau0 – 3FC Winterthur
  • 11 MarFC Winterthur4 – 2FC Aarau
  • 3 DecFC Aarau2 – 0FC Winterthur
  • 24 SeptFC Winterthur0 – 0FC Aarau
  • 23 AprFC Winterthur3 – 3FC Aarau
  • 6 AprFC Aarau3 – 0FC Winterthur
  • 26 FebFC Aarau0 – 0FC Winterthur

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

FC Winterthur2.2
Draw3.5
FC Aarau2.74

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

FC Winterthur

Chance41.1%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance25.9%
Odds3.5

FC Aarau

Chance33%
Odds2.74

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.32

FC WinterthurFC Aarau
Recent form63%37%
Attack61%39%
Defence63%37%
Goals model61%39%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall55%45%

Trends

Trend · Challenge League

FC Winterthur scored 2.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Challenge League

FC Winterthur conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Challenge League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Challenge League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau: prediction & preview

Switzerland · Challenge League · Fri, 18 Sept 2026

FC Winterthur meet FC Aarau in the Switzerland, Challenge League on 18 September 2026 at 19:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Winterthur at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau match?

Kickoff is 19:15 on 18 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?

FC Winterthur is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.