Match dossier

FC Thun vs FC Lugano Predictions

Switzerland · Super League · Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

FC Thun

9th in table · 13 pts

LLDLW

Sun, 25 Oct 202614:00

2 : 3

Full timeTip: Over 6.5 · 3.70

FC Lugano

1st in table · 34 pts

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

27.4%FC Thun23.1%Draw49.5%FC Lugano

Our prediction

Over 6.5 · FC Thun

FC Thun vs FC Lugano listed tip from the board.

Odds3.70
Confidence27.03%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Thun 27.4%
  • Draw 23.1%
  • FC Lugano 49.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.7027%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.4469%Won

Season statistics

Super League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC ThunFC Lugano
Goals scored (avg)
1.73.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.2
Wins
411
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Thun3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovLausanne4 – 5FC ThunW
  • 22 OctFC Thun0 – 1HNK Hajduk SplitL
  • 18 OctFC Schaffhausen2 – 2FC ThunD
  • 15 OctTwente1 – 0FC ThunL
  • 10 OctFC Zurich4 – 2FC ThunL
  • 3 OctFC Thun2 – 0SC KriensW
  • 20 SeptFC Vaduz1 – 2FC ThunW
  • 16 SeptFC Thun2 – 4Servette FCL
  • 12 SeptFC Thun0 – 1GrasshoppersL
FC Lugano7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 1 NovFC Lugano2 – 1FC Basel 1893W
  • 22 OctGetafe2 – 5FC LuganoW
  • 18 OctPully Football0 – 4FC LuganoW
  • 15 OctFC Lugano3 – 2FK Crvena ZvezdaW
  • 10 OctFC Lugano4 – 0FC LuzernW
  • 2 OctFC Lugano1 – 3Hellas VeronaL
  • 20 SeptLausanne0 – 4FC LuganoW
  • 16 SeptFC Lugano4 – 1FC ST. GallenW
  • 12 SeptFC Lugano2 – 2BSC Young BoysD
H2H
Head to headFC Thun 2W · 2D · FC Lugano 5W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 25 AprFC Thun0 – 1FC Lugano
  • 4 AprFC Lugano1 – 0FC Thun
  • 22 NovFC Thun0 – 1FC Lugano
  • 27 JulFC Lugano1 – 2FC Thun
  • 10 FebFC Thun3 – 4FC Lugano
  • 15 JulFC Lugano1 – 1FC Thun
  • 9 FebFC Thun3 – 2FC Lugano
  • 24 NovFC Thun0 – 3FC Lugano
  • 28 JulFC Lugano0 – 0FC Thun

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

FC Thun3.41
Draw4.05
FC Lugano1.89

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

FC Thun

Chance27.4%
Odds3.41

Draw

Chance23.1%
Odds4.05

FC Lugano

Chance49.5%
Odds1.89

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 6.5 at 3.70

FC ThunFC Lugano
Recent form31%69%
Attack35%65%
Defence36%64%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall36%64%

Trends

Trend · Super League

FC Thun scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Super League

FC Thun conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Super League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Super League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

FC Thun vs FC Lugano: prediction & preview

Switzerland · Super League · Sun, 25 Oct 2026

FC Thun meet FC Lugano in the Switzerland, Super League on 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Lugano at 1.89. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Thun vs FC Lugano FAQs

4 questions

What time is the FC Thun vs FC Lugano match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 25 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

FC Lugano is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.89. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.