Match dossier

Excelsior vs Groningen Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 15:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Excelsior

15th in table · 11 pts

DLLWL

Sun, 11 Oct 202615:45

1 : 5

Full timeTip: GG · 1.44

Groningen

8th in table · 15 pts

WLDLL

Pre-match win probability

36.8%Excelsior26%Draw37.2%Groningen

Our prediction

GG · Excelsior

Excelsior vs Groningen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence69.44%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Excelsior 36.8%
  • Draw 26%
  • Groningen 37.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4469%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.7027%Lost

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ExcelsiorGroningen
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.32.6
Wins
34
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Excelsior3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovExcelsior0 – 9TwenteL
  • 28 OctMVV0 – 3ExcelsiorW
  • 25 OctFortuna Sittard1 – 0ExcelsiorL
  • 16 OctHeerenveen4 – 0ExcelsiorL
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 13 SeptExcelsior1 – 2UtrechtL
  • 8 SeptNEC Nijmegen2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 5 SeptWillem II0 – 3ExcelsiorW
  • 29 AugExcelsior2 – 1Sparta RotterdamW
Groningen1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 1 NovGroningen2 – 3Sparta RotterdamL
  • 29 OctGroningen0 – 2EmmenL
  • 25 OctNEC Nijmegen2 – 2GroningenD
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxL
  • 18 SeptGroningen3 – 0PEC ZwolleW
  • 12 SeptGO Ahead Eagles1 – 1GroningenD
  • 6 SeptGroningen2 – 2TwenteD
  • 28 AugGroningen2 – 3Fortuna SittardL
  • 23 AugPSV Eindhoven5 – 1GroningenL
H2H
Head to headExcelsior 2W · 0D · Groningen 7W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 2 MayGroningen2 – 3Excelsior
  • 5 DecExcelsior0 – 2Groningen
  • 16 JanExcelsior0 – 2Groningen
  • 25 FebGroningen3 – 0Excelsior
  • 8 JanExcelsior1 – 0Groningen
  • 15 DecExcelsior2 – 4Groningen
  • 6 AprGroningen1 – 0Excelsior
  • 2 NovExcelsior2 – 4Groningen
  • 29 AprGroningen4 – 0Excelsior

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Excelsior2.61
Draw3.69
Groningen2.58

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Excelsior

Chance36.8%
Odds2.61

Draw

Chance26%
Odds3.69

Groningen

Chance37.2%
Odds2.58

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.44

ExcelsiorGroningen
Recent form65%35%
Attack45%55%
Defence64%36%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Excelsior scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Excelsior conceded 2.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Excelsior vs Groningen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Excelsior meet Groningen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 11 October 2026 at 15:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Groningen at 2.58. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Excelsior vs Groningen FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Excelsior vs Groningen match?

Kickoff is 15:45 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Excelsior vs Groningen?

Groningen is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.58. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.