Match dossier

Estrela vs Famalicao Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026 · 15:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Estrela

12th in table · 10 pts

LLWLL

Sat, 5 Sept 202615:30

2 : 2

Full timeTip: 1 · 2.00

Famalicao

11th in table · 10 pts

LLWDL

Pre-match win probability

30.3%Estrela30.1%Draw39.6%Famalicao

Our prediction

1 · Estrela

Estrela vs Famalicao listed tip from the board.

Odds2.00
Confidence50.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estrela 30.3%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Famalicao 39.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Win Either Half1Odds 2.0050%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.0Odds 3.7227%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EstrelaFamalicao
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.3
Wins
22
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Estrela3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctMoreirense2 – 1EstrelaL
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaL
  • 17 OctFazendense1 – 2EstrelaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaL
  • 20 SeptEstrela0 – 2Academico ViseuL
  • 14 SeptRio Ave3 – 3EstrelaD
  • 10 SeptEstrela2 – 1SC BragaW
  • 30 AugNacional2 – 3EstrelaW
  • 15 AugAlverca2 – 2EstrelaD
Famalicao2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovSC Braga3 – 0FamalicaoL
  • 29 OctSC Braga2 – 2FamalicaoD
  • 25 OctRio Ave0 – 4FamalicaoW
  • 18 OctParedes1 – 0FamalicaoL
  • 12 OctFamalicao1 – 4AlvercaL
  • 19 SeptNacional0 – 4FamalicaoW
  • 13 SeptFamalicao1 – 1Sporting CPD
  • 30 AugFamalicao0 – 0GIL VicenteD
  • 23 AugSanta Clara1 – 0FamalicaoL
H2H
Head to headEstrela 2W · 3D · Famalicao 1W · 1.5 goals a game
  • 11 MayEstrela0 – 0Famalicao
  • 27 DecFamalicao2 – 3Estrela
  • 25 JanFamalicao0 – 0Estrela
  • 19 AugEstrela0 – 3Famalicao
  • 16 MarFamalicao0 – 0Estrela
  • 29 OctEstrela1 – 0Famalicao

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Estrela3.2
Draw3.22
Famalicao2.45

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Estrela

Chance30.3%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3.22

Famalicao

Chance39.6%
Odds2.45

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 2.00

EstrelaFamalicao
Recent form55%45%
Attack52%48%
Defence41%59%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head58%42%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Estrela scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Estrela conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Estrela vs Famalicao: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Estrela meet Famalicao in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 5 September 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Famalicao at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estrela vs Famalicao FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Estrela vs Famalicao match?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Estrela vs Famalicao?

Famalicao is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.