Match dossier

Estoril vs Casa Pia Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 20 Sept 2026 · 18:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 20 Sept 2026

Estoril

18th in table · 2 pts

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Sun, 20 Sept 202618:00

1 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.21

Casa Pia

17th in table · 7 pts

LLWWL

Pre-match win probability

54.4%Estoril25.1%Draw20.4%Casa Pia

Our prediction

1X · Estoril

Estoril vs Casa Pia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.21
Confidence82.64%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estoril 54.4%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Casa Pia 20.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2183%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2282%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3475%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.9034%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3375%Won

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EstorilCasa Pia
Goals scored (avg)
0.40.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.9
Wins
02
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Estoril0W 2D 7L in last 9
  • 31 OctFC Porto4 – 0EstorilL
  • 25 OctEstoril1 – 3MoreirenseL
  • 18 OctSalgueiros1 – 1EstorilD
  • 10 OctAcademico Viseu2 – 1EstorilL
  • 14 SeptSC Braga1 – 0EstorilL
  • 7 SeptEstoril0 – 0AroucaD
  • 31 AugBenfica2 – 1EstorilL
  • 22 AugEstoril0 – 2Rio AveL
  • 16 AugNacional2 – 0EstorilL
Casa Pia2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 30 OctCasa Pia0 – 2Sporting CPL
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 18 OctAlpendorada0 – 1Casa PiaW
  • 10 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Santa ClaraL
  • 12 SeptCasa Pia1 – 4FC PortoL
  • 6 SeptVitória SC0 – 0Casa PiaD
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseL
  • 24 AugGIL Vicente2 – 0Casa PiaL
  • 17 AugCasa Pia0 – 7BenficaL
H2H
Head to headEstoril 3W · 5D · Casa Pia 1W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 7 MarEstoril0 – 0Casa Pia
  • 3 OctCasa Pia2 – 2Estoril
  • 29 AprCasa Pia1 – 3Estoril
  • 15 DecEstoril0 – 2Casa Pia
  • 8 AprCasa Pia0 – 0Estoril
  • 10 NovEstoril4 – 0Casa Pia
  • 21 MayCasa Pia2 – 2Estoril
  • 16 JanEstoril2 – 0Casa Pia
  • 23 AprEstoril1 – 1Casa Pia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Estoril1.78
Draw3.86
Casa Pia4.74

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Estoril

Chance54.4%
Odds1.78

Draw

Chance25.1%
Odds3.86

Casa Pia

Chance20.4%
Odds4.74

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.21

EstorilCasa Pia
Recent form22%78%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Estoril scored 0.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Estoril conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Estoril vs Casa Pia: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Estoril meet Casa Pia in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estoril at 1.78. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estoril vs Casa Pia FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Estoril vs Casa Pia match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Estoril vs Casa Pia?

Estoril is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.78. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.