Match dossier

Estoril vs Arouca Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 7 Sept 2026 · 20:15 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Estoril

18th in table · 2 pts

LLDLL

Mon, 7 Sept 202620:15

0 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.22

Arouca

5th in table · 20 pts

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

40.4%Estoril27.9%Draw31.7%Arouca

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Estoril

Estoril vs Arouca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence81.97%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estoril 40.4%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Arouca 31.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 1.5Odds 1.2282%Lost
  • Away Win2Odds 3.0633%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2282%Lost
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.8953%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3674%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3176%Won
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.9152%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.7237%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EstorilArouca
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.11.1
Wins
06
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Estoril0W 1D 8L in last 9
  • 31 OctFC Porto4 – 0EstorilL
  • 25 OctEstoril1 – 3MoreirenseL
  • 18 OctSalgueiros1 – 1EstorilD
  • 10 OctAcademico Viseu2 – 1EstorilL
  • 20 SeptEstoril1 – 2Casa PiaL
  • 14 SeptSC Braga1 – 0EstorilL
  • 31 AugBenfica2 – 1EstorilL
  • 22 AugEstoril0 – 2Rio AveL
  • 16 AugNacional2 – 0EstorilL
Arouca6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 1 NovArouca1 – 0NacionalW
  • 24 OctAlverca0 – 1AroucaW
  • 18 OctCF Os Belenenses3 – 4AroucaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaW
  • 19 SeptSporting CP2 – 2AroucaD
  • 13 SeptArouca1 – 2Santa ClaraL
  • 29 AugArouca2 – 1MaritimoW
  • 23 AugFC Porto2 – 0AroucaL
  • 16 AugArouca4 – 0MoreirenseW
H2H
Head to headEstoril 3W · 1D · Arouca 5W · 4 goals a game
  • 6 AprArouca3 – 2Estoril
  • 7 NovEstoril4 – 3Arouca
  • 16 MarArouca1 – 1Estoril
  • 26 OctEstoril4 – 1Arouca
  • 20 JanEstoril1 – 2Arouca
  • 13 AugArouca4 – 3Estoril
  • 15 MayEstoril2 – 0Arouca
  • 7 JanArouca2 – 0Estoril
  • 27 JanEstoril1 – 2Arouca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Estoril2.4
Draw3.47
Arouca3.06

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Estoril

Chance40.4%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.47

Arouca

Chance31.7%
Odds3.06

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.22

EstorilArouca
Recent form5%95%
Attack25%75%
Defence32%68%
Goals model25%75%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall56%44%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Estoril scored 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Estoril conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

Estoril vs Arouca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 7 Sept 2026

Estoril meet Arouca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 7 September 2026 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estoril at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estoril vs Arouca FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Estoril vs Arouca match?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 7 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Estoril vs Arouca?

Estoril is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.