Match dossier

Estac Troyes vs Marseille Predictions

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Estac Troyes

16th in table · 8 pts

LDLDW

Sun, 11 Oct 202619:45

0 : 2

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.31

Marseille

6th in table · 15 pts

LWLWW

Pre-match win probability

24.4%Estac Troyes24.3%Draw51.3%Marseille

Our prediction

X2 · Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.31
Confidence76.34%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estac Troyes 24.4%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Marseille 51.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3176%Won
  • corners ouOver 6Odds 1.2083%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.5067%Won

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Estac TroyesMarseille
Goals scored (avg)
11.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.9
Wins
25
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Estac Troyes2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctEstac Troyes2 – 0Le MansW
  • 25 OctToulouse0 – 0Estac TroyesD
  • 17 OctEstac Troyes1 – 3LensL
  • 2 OctDijon2 – 2Estac TroyesD
  • 19 SeptAngers2 – 0Estac TroyesL
  • 13 SeptLille2 – 0Estac TroyesL
  • 6 SeptEstac Troyes2 – 6StrasbourgL
  • 29 AugLorient1 – 2Estac TroyesW
  • 22 AugEstac Troyes0 – 0Paris FCD
Marseille3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovMarseille2 – 0ToulouseW
  • 25 OctMarseille4 – 3Le HavreW
  • 22 OctSturm Graz1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 18 OctAngers2 – 5MarseilleW
  • 15 OctMarseille0 – 1Olympiakos PiraeusL
  • 20 SeptMarseille1 – 2Paris Saint GermainL
  • 17 SeptBeşiktaş4 – 1MarseilleL
  • 11 SeptRennes1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 6 SeptMarseille2 – 3Paris FCL
H2H
Head to headEstac Troyes 0W · 2D · Marseille 7W · 3.2 goals a game
  • 16 AprMarseille3 – 1Estac Troyes
  • 11 JanEstac Troyes0 – 2Marseille
  • 27 FebEstac Troyes1 – 1Marseille
  • 28 NovMarseille1 – 0Estac Troyes
  • 15 AprEstac Troyes2 – 3Marseille
  • 20 DecMarseille3 – 1Estac Troyes
  • 14 MayEstac Troyes1 – 1Marseille
  • 23 AugMarseille6 – 0Estac Troyes
  • 3 MarMarseille2 – 1Estac Troyes

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Estac Troyes4.03
Draw4.05
Marseille1.92

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Estac Troyes

Chance24.4%
Odds4.03

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds4.05

Marseille

Chance51.3%
Odds1.92

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.31

Estac TroyesMarseille
Recent form50%50%
Attack37%63%
Defence52%48%
Goals model37%63%
Head-to-head11%89%
Overall32%68%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Estac Troyes scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Estac Troyes conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Estac Troyes vs Marseille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Estac Troyes meet Marseille in the France, Ligue 1 on 11 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Marseille at 1.92. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estac Troyes vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Estac Troyes vs Marseille match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Estac Troyes vs Marseille?

Marseille is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.92. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.