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Estac Troyes vs Lens Predictions

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Estac Troyes

16th in table · 8 pts

LDLDW

Sat, 17 Oct 2026·19:45

1 : 3

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.26

Lens

9th in table · 13 pts

LLWLL

Win probability

22.9%Estac Troyes24.4%Draw52.7%Lens

Our prediction

X2 · Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes vs Lens listed tip from the board.

Odds1.26
Confidence79.37%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estac Troyes 22.9%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Lens 52.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.2679%Won
  • corners ouOver 7Odds 1.2580%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6262%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.4469%Won

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Estac TroyesLens
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.72.3
Wins
24
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Estac Troyes2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctEstac Troyes2 – 0Le MansW
  • 25 OctToulouse0 – 0Estac TroyesD
  • 11 OctEstac Troyes0 – 2MarseilleL
  • 2 OctDijon2 – 2Estac TroyesD
  • 19 SeptAngers2 – 0Estac TroyesL
  • 13 SeptLille2 – 0Estac TroyesL
  • 6 SeptEstac Troyes2 – 6StrasbourgL
  • 29 AugLorient1 – 2Estac TroyesW
  • 22 AugEstac Troyes0 – 0Paris FCD
Lens3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 4 NovLens1 – 9ComoL
  • 30 OctLille1 – 0LensL
  • 24 OctLens2 – 1Paris FCW
  • 21 OctClub Brugge KV3 – 0LensL
  • 13 OctLens0 – 2Sporting CPL
  • 9 OctLens2 – 1LyonW
  • 2 OctStandard Liege0 – 2LensW
  • 18 SeptMonaco2 – 1LensL
  • 13 SeptLe Mans2 – 2LensD
H2H
Head to headEstac Troyes 2W · 1D · Lens 6W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 4 FebEstac Troyes2 – 4Lens
  • 28 JanEstac Troyes1 – 1Lens
  • 9 SeptLens1 – 0Estac Troyes
  • 14 MayEstac Troyes1 – 3Lens
  • 5 NovLens4 – 0Estac Troyes
  • 4 FebLens1 – 0Estac Troyes
  • 24 AugEstac Troyes2 – 0Lens
  • 13 AugEstac Troyes1 – 2Lens
  • 28 JanEstac Troyes1 – 0Lens

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Estac Troyes4.3
Draw4.04
Lens1.87

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Estac Troyes

Chance22.9%
Odds4.3

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds4.04

Lens

Chance52.7%
Odds1.87

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.26

Estac TroyesLens
Recent form47%53%
Attack45%55%
Defence65%35%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall30%70%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Estac Troyes scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Estac Troyes conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Estac Troyes vs Lens: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Estac Troyes meet Lens in the France, Ligue 1 on 17 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lens at 1.87. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estac Troyes vs Lens FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Estac Troyes vs Lens match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Estac Troyes vs Lens?

Lens is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.87. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.