Match dossier

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 17 Oct 2026

Espanyol

14th in table · 11 pts

LDLLW

Sat, 17 Oct 202613:00

0 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.22

Atletico Madrid

2nd in table · 28 pts

WDWWL

Pre-match win probability

20.2%Espanyol25%Draw54.8%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Espanyol

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence54.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Espanyol 20.2%
  • Draw 25%
  • Atletico Madrid 54.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 1.5Odds 1.22Lost
  • Away Win2Odds 1.8056%Won
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.2282%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7358%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2381%Lost
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.8753%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.4071%Won
  • corners ouOver 7Odds 1.3475%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.6737%Lost

Season statistics

La Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EspanyolAtletico Madrid
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.70.6
Wins
39
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Espanyol2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 30 OctVillarreal0 – 1EspanyolW
  • 27 OctSestao River4 – 3EspanyolL
  • 24 OctRacing Santander2 – 1EspanyolL
  • 9 OctMalaga1 – 1EspanyolD
  • 18 SeptEspanyol1 – 3ElcheL
  • 15 SeptRayo Vallecano2 – 1EspanyolL
  • 12 SeptOsasuna0 – 2EspanyolW
  • 6 SeptEspanyol1 – 1SevillaD
  • 29 AugReal Sociedad2 – 1EspanyolL
Atletico Madrid7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 3 NovAtletico Madrid0 – 2Bayern MünchenL
  • 31 OctLevante0 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
  • 20 SeptAtletico Madrid2 – 1Real MadridW
  • 16 SeptAtletico Madrid4 – 0OsasunaW
  • 13 SeptReal Sociedad0 – 3Atletico MadridW
H2H
Head to headEspanyol 1W · 5D · Atletico Madrid 3W · 3 goals a game
  • 21 FebAtletico Madrid4 – 2Espanyol
  • 17 AugEspanyol2 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 29 MarEspanyol1 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 28 AugAtletico Madrid0 – 0Espanyol
  • 24 MayEspanyol3 – 3Atletico Madrid
  • 6 NovAtletico Madrid1 – 1Espanyol
  • 17 AprAtletico Madrid2 – 1Espanyol
  • 12 SeptEspanyol1 – 2Atletico Madrid
  • 1 MarEspanyol1 – 1Atletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Espanyol4.88
Draw3.94
Atletico Madrid1.8

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Espanyol

Chance20.2%
Odds4.88

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.94

Atletico Madrid

Chance54.8%
Odds1.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.22

EspanyolAtletico Madrid
Recent form27%73%
Attack41%59%
Defence35%65%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall27%73%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Espanyol scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Espanyol conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Trend · La Liga

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Espanyol meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid match?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid?

Atletico Madrid is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.