Match dossier

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone Predictions

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Mon, 28 Sept 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Equatorial Guinea

3rd in table · 3 pts

LWDLL

Mon, 28 Sept 202617:00

1 : 0

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.21

Sierra Leone

4th in table · 0 pts

WDWLL

Pre-match win probability

47.5%Equatorial Guinea29.1%Draw23.4%Sierra Leone

Our prediction

1X · Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone listed tip from the board.

Odds1.21
Confidence82.64%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Equatorial Guinea 47.5%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • Sierra Leone 23.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2183%Won

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Equatorial GuineaSierra Leone
Goals scored (avg)
0.51.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.2
Wins
10
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Equatorial Guinea1W 1D 6L in last 8
  • 24 SeptCongo DR2 – 0Equatorial GuineaL
  • 9 JunEquatorial Guinea0 – 1ComorosL
  • 31 MarEquatorial Guinea1 – 1MadagascarD
  • 25 MarKyrgyzstan0 – 1Equatorial GuineaW
  • 31 DecEquatorial Guinea1 – 3AlgeriaL
  • 28 DecEquatorial Guinea0 – 1SudanL
  • 24 DecBurkina Faso2 – 1Equatorial GuineaL
  • 17 NovMadagascar2 – 0Equatorial GuineaL
Sierra Leone3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 24 SeptSierra Leone2 – 3ZimbabweL
  • 9 JunLiberia3 – 1Sierra LeoneL
  • 6 JunSierra Leone1 – 0LiberiaW
  • 30 MarAzerbaijan1 – 1Sierra LeoneD
  • 12 OctDjibouti1 – 2Sierra LeoneW
  • 8 OctSierra Leone0 – 1Burkina FasoL
  • 9 SeptSierra Leone2 – 0EthiopiaW
  • 4 SeptGuinea-Bissau1 – 1Sierra LeoneD
  • 25 MarEgypt1 – 0Sierra LeoneL
H2H
Head to headEquatorial Guinea 1W · 0D · Sierra Leone 0W · 1 goals a game
  • 20 JanSierra Leone0 – 1Equatorial Guinea

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Equatorial Guinea1.95
Draw3.18
Sierra Leone3.96

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Equatorial Guinea

Chance47.5%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance29.1%
Odds3.18

Sierra Leone

Chance23.4%
Odds3.96

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.21

Equatorial GuineaSierra Leone
Recent form27%73%
Attack31%69%
Defence45%55%
Goals model31%69%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Equatorial Guinea scored 0.5 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Equatorial Guinea conceded 1.5 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 4 of those 8.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 8.

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Mon, 28 Sept 2026

Equatorial Guinea meet Sierra Leone in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Equatorial Guinea at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 28 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?

Equatorial Guinea is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.