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Match dossier

Derby vs Wrexham Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 10 Oct 2026

Derby

23rd in table · 7 pts

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Sat, 10 Oct 202615:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.38

Wrexham

19th in table · 14 pts

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Pre-match win probability

35.1%Derby28.6%Draw36.3%Wrexham

Our prediction

X2 · Derby

Derby vs Wrexham listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence72.46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 35.1%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Wrexham 36.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3872%Won
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.7358%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.8835%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.6760%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyWrexham
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.31.6
Wins
13
Played
1413

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derby0W 2D 7L in last 9
  • 3 NovDerby0 – 4NorwichL
  • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
  • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
  • 5 SeptWest Ham3 – 0DerbyL
Wrexham3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 30 OctSheffield Utd1 – 0WrexhamL
  • 24 OctBlackburn2 – 0WrexhamL
  • 17 OctWrexham4 – 1PrestonW
  • 13 OctWrexham1 – 2West BromL
  • 19 SeptWrexham2 – 1SouthamptonW
  • 11 SeptWest Ham6 – 0WrexhamL
  • 8 SeptWrexham1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 5 SeptSwansea0 – 0WrexhamD
  • 2 SeptMillwall0 – 3WrexhamW
H2H
Head to headDerby 0W · 1D · Wrexham 1W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 4 JanDerby1 – 2Wrexham
  • 27 SeptWrexham1 – 1Derby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Derby2.65
Draw3.25
Wrexham2.56

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Derby

Chance35.1%
Odds2.65

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.25

Wrexham

Chance36.3%
Odds2.56

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.38

DerbyWrexham
Recent form15%85%
Attack33%67%
Defence33%67%
Goals model33%67%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall49%51%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Derby scored 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Derby conceded 2.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

Derby vs Wrexham: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Derby meet Wrexham in the England, Championship on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Wrexham at 2.56. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Wrexham FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Derby vs Wrexham match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Derby vs Wrexham?

Wrexham is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.56. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.