Match dossier

Derby vs West Brom Predictions

England · Championship · Wed, 9 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipWed, 9 Sept 2026

Derby

23rd in table · 7 pts

LLDLL

Wed, 9 Sept 202619:45

0 : 1

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.38

West Brom

6th in table · 25 pts

WWDWD

Pre-match win probability

32.2%Derby27.4%Draw40.4%West Brom

Our prediction

X2 · Derby

Derby vs West Brom listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence72.46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 32.2%
  • Draw 27.4%
  • West Brom 40.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeX2Odds 1.3872%Won

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyWest Brom
Goals scored (avg)
0.71.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.31
Wins
17
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derby0W 3D 6L in last 9
  • 3 NovDerby0 – 4NorwichL
  • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
  • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
  • 5 SeptWest Ham3 – 0DerbyL
West Brom4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 3 NovWest Brom1 – 1SouthamptonD
  • 31 OctWest Ham1 – 3West BromW
  • 24 OctPreston1 – 1West BromD
  • 17 OctWest Brom3 – 2BlackburnW
  • 13 OctWrexham1 – 2West BromW
  • 10 OctWest Brom0 – 1BirminghamL
  • 20 SeptWolves1 – 0West BromL
  • 12 SeptWest Brom1 – 1QPRD
  • 5 SeptWest Brom1 – 0WatfordW
H2H
Head to headDerby 5W · 3D · West Brom 1W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 23 JanDerby1 – 1West Brom
  • 13 SeptWest Brom0 – 1Derby
  • 12 AugWest Brom1 – 1Derby
  • 21 AprWest Brom1 – 3Derby
  • 26 DecDerby2 – 1West Brom
  • 23 AugDerby1 – 0West Brom
  • 27 DecDerby1 – 0West Brom
  • 14 SeptWest Brom0 – 0Derby
  • 8 JulWest Brom2 – 0Derby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Derby2.91
Draw3.42
West Brom2.32

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Derby

Chance32.2%
Odds2.91

Draw

Chance27.4%
Odds3.42

West Brom

Chance40.4%
Odds2.32

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.38

DerbyWest Brom
Recent form17%83%
Attack35%65%
Defence26%74%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall44%56%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Derby scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Derby conceded 2.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.

Derby vs West Brom: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Wed, 9 Sept 2026

Derby meet West Brom in the England, Championship on 9 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is West Brom at 2.32. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs West Brom FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Derby vs West Brom match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 9 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Derby vs West Brom?

West Brom is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.32. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.