Match dossier
Derby vs Stoke City Predictions
England · Championship · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips
Derby
23rd in table · 7 pts
Sat, 17 Oct 202615:00
0 : 1
Full timeTip: X2 · 1.40
Stoke City
4th in table · 26 pts
Pre-match win probability
Results are graded automatically after full time
Our prediction
X2 · Derby
Derby vs Stoke City listed tip from the board.
- Derby 33.3%
- Draw 27.8%
- Stoke City 38.9%
Board tips
Betting Tips
- Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4071%Won
- cards ouOver 2.0Odds 3.9026%Lost
- corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.6028%Lost
- Win Either Half2Odds 1.7358%Won
Season statistics
Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger
DerbyStoke City1.90.9814Recent form
Last matches · newest first
- 3 NovDerby0 – 4NorwichL
- 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
- 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
- 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
- 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
- 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
- 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
- 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
- 5 SeptWest Ham3 – 0DerbyL
- 3 NovBlackburn1 – 2Stoke CityW
- 31 OctStoke City2 – 0PrestonW
- 24 OctStoke City0 – 0Bristol CityD
- 13 OctStoke City2 – 3MiddlesbroughL
- 10 OctBolton1 – 2Stoke CityW
- 19 SeptStoke City2 – 1Sheffield UtdW
- 12 SeptWatford1 – 2Stoke CityW
- 8 SeptCardiff1 – 1Stoke CityD
- 5 SeptStoke City4 – 0CharltonW
H2H- 6 AprDerby2 – 0Stoke City
- 9 AugStoke City3 – 1Derby
- 3 MayDerby0 – 0Stoke City
- 2 NovStoke City2 – 1Derby
- 22 JulDerby3 – 0Stoke City
- 30 DecStoke City1 – 2Derby
- 18 SeptDerby2 – 1Stoke City
- 20 MarStoke City1 – 0Derby
- 12 DecDerby0 – 0Stoke City
Betting markets
Bookmaker prices with margin removed
No over/under prices stored.
Match result
No BTTS prices stored.
No double chance prices stored.
Derby
Draw
Stoke City
No half-time prices stored.
No corner prices stored.
Model comparison
Our pick: X2 at 1.40
DerbyStoke CityTrends
Trend · Championship
Derby scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.
Trend · Championship
Derby conceded 2.3 per game in the last 9.
Trend · Championship
Failed to score in 3 of those 9.
Trend · Championship
Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 9.
Derby vs Stoke City: prediction & preview
England · Championship · Sat, 17 Oct 2026
Derby meet Stoke City in the England, Championship on 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.
On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Stoke City at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.
Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.
Derby vs Stoke City FAQs
4 questionsWhat time is the Derby vs Stoke City match?
Kickoff is 15:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.
What are the safest picks for Derby vs Stoke City?
Stoke City is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.9%.
What are the over and under 2.5 prices?
Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.
Do both teams score on this match?
A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.