Match dossier

Derby vs Lincoln Predictions

England · League Cup · Sat, 8 Aug 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · League CupSat, 8 Aug 2026

Derby

LLDLL

Sat, 8 Aug 202615:00

1 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.31

Lincoln

LDWLL

Pre-match win probability

46.6%Derby25%Draw28.4%Lincoln

Our prediction

1X · Derby

Derby vs Lincoln listed tip from the board.

Odds1.31
Confidence76.34%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 46.6%
  • Draw 25%
  • Lincoln 28.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.3176%Lost

Season statistics

League Cup · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyLincoln
Goals scored (avg)
0.61
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.22.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derby0W 3D 7L in last 10
  • 3 NovDerby0 – 4NorwichL
  • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
  • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
  • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
  • 5 SeptWest Ham3 – 0DerbyL
Lincoln3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 3 NovWatford1 – 0LincolnL
  • 31 OctLincoln1 – 3BirminghamL
  • 24 OctLincoln4 – 1BurnleyW
  • 17 OctMillwall2 – 2LincolnD
  • 14 OctLincoln0 – 6West HamL
  • 10 OctSheffield Utd3 – 0LincolnL
  • 19 SeptLincoln1 – 2SwanseaL
  • 15 SeptBristol City0 – 1LincolnW
  • 12 SeptPreston0 – 1LincolnW
  • 8 SeptBournemouth4 – 0LincolnL
H2H
Head to headDerby 2W · 2D · Lincoln 1W · 2 goals a game
  • 20 JanLincoln0 – 0Derby
  • 21 DecDerby3 – 1Lincoln
  • 19 SeptDerby2 – 0Lincoln
  • 14 FebDerby1 – 1Lincoln
  • 13 SeptLincoln2 – 0Derby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Derby2.01
Draw3.74
Lincoln3.3

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Derby

Chance46.6%
Odds2.01

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.74

Lincoln

Chance28.4%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.31

DerbyLincoln
Recent form23%77%
Attack37%63%
Defence50%50%
Goals model37%63%
Head-to-head60%40%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · League Cup

Derby scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · League Cup

Derby conceded 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · League Cup

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · League Cup

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 10.

Derby vs Lincoln: prediction & preview

England · League Cup · Sat, 8 Aug 2026

Derby meet Lincoln in the England, League Cup on 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2.01. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Lincoln FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Derby vs Lincoln match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 8 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Derby vs Lincoln?

Derby is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.01. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.