Match dossier

Danubio vs Penarol Predictions

Uruguay · Copa Uruguay · Thu, 24 Sept 2026 · 19:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Uruguay · Copa UruguayThu, 24 Sept 2026

Danubio

WWLWL

Thu, 24 Sept 202619:30

1 : 1

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.20

Penarol

DLDLD

Pre-match win probability

28.5%Danubio30.6%Draw40.9%Penarol

Our prediction

X2 · Danubio

Danubio vs Penarol listed tip from the board.

Odds1.20
Confidence83.33%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Danubio 28.5%
  • Draw 30.6%
  • Penarol 40.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.2083%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.4171%Won
  • corners ouOver 6Odds 1.2381%Lost

Season statistics

Copa Uruguay · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

DanubioPenarol
Goals scored (avg)
1.70.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.90.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Danubio4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 1 NovDanubio1 – 2Club NacionalL
  • 30 OctWanderers Durazno0 – 3DanubioW
  • 24 OctDeportivo Maldonado2 – 1DanubioL
  • 18 OctDanubio1 – 0Central EspanolW
  • 15 OctCentral Espanol0 – 6DanubioW
  • 9 OctAtletico Torque1 – 0DanubioL
  • 4 OctDanubio2 – 1Cerro LargoW
  • 27 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 0DanubioL
  • 20 SeptDanubio1 – 1WanderersD
Penarol3W 4D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctPenarol1 – 1WanderersD
  • 27 OctPenarol0 – 2Atletico TorqueL
  • 24 OctJuventud0 – 0PenarolD
  • 18 OctLiverpool Montevideo1 – 0PenarolL
  • 10 OctPenarol1 – 1ProgresoD
  • 4 OctRacing Montevideo0 – 1PenarolW
  • 1 OctAtletico Torque1 – 1PenarolD
  • 26 SeptPenarol2 – 1Boston RiverW
  • 19 SeptCerro1 – 2PenarolW
H2H
Head to headDanubio 2W · 1D · Penarol 6W · 2 goals a game
  • 5 SeptDanubio0 – 4Penarol
  • 8 MarPenarol1 – 1Danubio
  • 5 OctPenarol2 – 0Danubio
  • 5 AprDanubio0 – 1Penarol
  • 16 OctDanubio0 – 1Penarol
  • 14 AprPenarol2 – 0Danubio
  • 19 NovDanubio2 – 1Penarol
  • 8 JulDanubio1 – 0Penarol
  • 15 AprPenarol2 – 0Danubio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Danubio3.12
Draw2.9
Penarol2.17

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Danubio

Chance28.5%
Odds3.12

Draw

Chance30.6%
Odds2.9

Penarol

Chance40.9%
Odds2.17

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.20

DanubioPenarol
Recent form50%50%
Attack65%35%
Defence50%50%
Goals model65%35%
Head-to-head28%72%
Overall41%59%

Trends

Trend · Copa Uruguay

Danubio scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Copa Uruguay

Danubio conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Copa Uruguay

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Copa Uruguay

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Danubio vs Penarol: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Copa Uruguay · Thu, 24 Sept 2026

Danubio meet Penarol in the Uruguay, Copa Uruguay on 24 September 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 2.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Danubio vs Penarol FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Danubio vs Penarol match?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 24 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Danubio vs Penarol?

Penarol is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.