Match dossier

Chester vs Merthyr Town Predictions

England · National League - North · Tue, 8 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Chester

9th in table · 23 pts

LWLWL

Tue, 8 Sept 2026·19:45

0 : 1

Full timeTip: Under 3.5 · 1.38

Merthyr Town

19th in table · 16 pts

DDLLD

Win probability

56.8%Chester23.4%Draw19.7%Merthyr Town

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Chester

Chester vs Merthyr Town listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence72.46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chester 56.8%
  • Draw 23.4%
  • Merthyr Town 19.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3872%Won

Season statistics

National League - North · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ChesterMerthyr Town
Goals scored (avg)
1.40.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.8
Wins
73
Played
1415

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Chester4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctChester0 – 1Hednesford TownL
  • 27 OctChester2 – 1MarineW
  • 24 OctSouth Shields3 – 1ChesterL
  • 10 OctChester1 – 0Bedford TownW
  • 3 OctSpennymoor Town4 – 1ChesterL
  • 26 SeptChester4 – 1Worksop TownW
  • 19 SeptLower Breck1 – 2ChesterW
  • 12 SeptBuxton3 – 1ChesterL
  • 5 SeptHebburn Town1 – 1ChesterD
Merthyr Town0W 5D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctRadcliffe3 – 3Merthyr TownD
  • 27 OctOxford City3 – 0Merthyr TownL
  • 24 OctMerthyr Town1 – 3MorecambeL
  • 17 OctMerthyr Town1 – 1King's Lynn TownD
  • 10 OctDarlington 18831 – 1Merthyr TownD
  • 26 SeptMerthyr Town1 – 2MarineL
  • 22 SeptTruro City2 – 0Merthyr TownL
  • 19 SeptMerthyr Town1 – 1Truro CityD
  • 12 SeptScarborough Athletic0 – 0Merthyr TownD
H2H
Head to headChester 1W · 1D · Merthyr Town 0W · 3.5 goals a game
  • 10 MarMerthyr Town1 – 2Chester
  • 4 OctChester2 – 2Merthyr Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Chester1.6
Draw3.88
Merthyr Town4.61

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Chester

Chance56.8%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance23.4%
Odds3.88

Merthyr Town

Chance19.7%
Odds4.61

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.38

ChesterMerthyr Town
Recent form72%28%
Attack61%39%
Defence52%48%
Goals model61%39%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall74%26%

Trends

Trend · National League - North

Chester scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · National League - North

Chester conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · National League - North

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · National League - North

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Chester vs Merthyr Town: prediction & preview

England · National League - North · Tue, 8 Sept 2026

Chester meet Merthyr Town in the England, National League - North on 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chester at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chester vs Merthyr Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Chester vs Merthyr Town match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 8 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Chester vs Merthyr Town?

Chester is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.