Match dossier

Chelsea vs Brighton Predictions

England · Premier League · Sun, 30 Aug 2026 · 14:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Chelsea

4th in table · 16 pts

WWLDW

Sun, 30 Aug 202614:00

4 : 3

Full timeTip: X · 4.16

Brighton

3rd in table · 19 pts

WDLDW

Pre-match win probability

53%Chelsea23.7%Draw23.3%Brighton

Our prediction

X · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Brighton listed tip from the board.

Odds4.16
Confidence67.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 53%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Brighton 23.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 4.1667%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5764%Won
  • Correct Score Tips3-3Odds 31.003%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.5040%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.9334%Lost
  • free 2 oddsGGOdds 1.65Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3176%Won

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaBrighton
Goals scored (avg)
2.12.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.60.6
Wins
56
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Chelsea4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctChelsea2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 28 OctLiverpool1 – 1ChelseaD
  • 24 OctChelsea0 – 2TottenhamL
  • 17 OctEverton0 – 2ChelseaW
  • 10 OctChelsea5 – 1BournemouthW
  • 18 SeptBrentford3 – 0ChelseaL
  • 12 SeptChelsea2 – 2Hull CityD
  • 9 SeptChelsea6 – 3LeedsW
  • 6 SeptArsenal2 – 1ChelseaL
Brighton7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctManchester City0 – 1BrightonW
  • 28 OctManchester City2 – 2BrightonD
  • 25 OctLiverpool2 – 0BrightonL
  • 22 OctFK Jablonec0 – 0BrightonD
  • 18 OctBrighton5 – 0Crystal PalaceW
  • 15 OctBrighton4 – 0Kauno ŽalgirisW
  • 10 OctSunderland0 – 2BrightonW
  • 19 SeptBrighton3 – 0ArsenalW
  • 16 SeptManchester United2 – 3BrightonW
  • 13 SeptCoventry0 – 5BrightonW
H2H
Head to headChelsea 5W · 0D · Brighton 4W · 3.9 goals a game
  • 21 AprBrighton3 – 0Chelsea
  • 27 SeptChelsea1 – 3Brighton
  • 14 FebBrighton3 – 0Chelsea
  • 8 FebBrighton2 – 1Chelsea
  • 28 SeptChelsea4 – 2Brighton
  • 15 MayBrighton1 – 2Chelsea
  • 3 DecChelsea3 – 2Brighton
  • 27 SeptChelsea1 – 0Brighton
  • 23 JulChelsea4 – 3Brighton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Chelsea1.86
Draw4.16
Brighton4.22

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Chelsea

Chance53%
Odds1.86

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds4.16

Brighton

Chance23.3%
Odds4.22

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 4.16

ChelseaBrighton
Recent form38%62%
Attack46%54%
Defence37%63%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Chelsea scored 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Chelsea conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Chelsea vs Brighton: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Chelsea meet Brighton in the England, Premier League on 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 1.86. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Brighton FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Chelsea vs Brighton match?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Chelsea vs Brighton?

Chelsea is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.86. The margin-adjusted share is about 53%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.