Match dossier

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Predictions

England · Premier League · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Chelsea

4th in table · 16 pts

LWLDW

Sat, 10 Oct 202615:00

5 : 1

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.24

Bournemouth

8th in table · 12 pts

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

55.1%Chelsea23.1%Draw21.8%Bournemouth

Our prediction

1X · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Bournemouth listed tip from the board.

Odds1.24
Confidence80.65%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 55.1%
  • Draw 23.1%
  • Bournemouth 21.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2481%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5067%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.5266%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2779%Won
  • Correct Score Tips3-3Odds 26.004%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.1048%Lost

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaBournemouth
Goals scored (avg)
22.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.80.4
Wins
53
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Chelsea4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctChelsea2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 28 OctLiverpool1 – 1ChelseaD
  • 24 OctChelsea0 – 2TottenhamL
  • 17 OctEverton0 – 2ChelseaW
  • 18 SeptBrentford3 – 0ChelseaL
  • 12 SeptChelsea2 – 2Hull CityD
  • 9 SeptChelsea6 – 3LeedsW
  • 6 SeptArsenal2 – 1ChelseaL
  • 30 AugChelsea4 – 3BrightonW
Bournemouth7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctBournemouth2 – 0LeedsW
  • 28 OctBournemouth3 – 0Aston VillaW
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthW
  • 22 OctBournemouth3 – 0AC MilanW
  • 18 OctBournemouth2 – 0SunderlandW
  • 15 OctBournemouth3 – 0Sturm GrazW
  • 20 SeptBournemouth0 – 1LiverpoolL
  • 17 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2BournemouthW
  • 12 SeptBournemouth2 – 2BrentfordD
H2H
Head to headChelsea 4W · 4D · Bournemouth 0W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 30 DecChelsea2 – 2Bournemouth
  • 6 DecBournemouth0 – 0Chelsea
  • 14 JanChelsea2 – 2Bournemouth
  • 14 SeptBournemouth0 – 1Chelsea
  • 19 MayChelsea2 – 1Bournemouth
  • 17 SeptBournemouth0 – 0Chelsea
  • 6 MayBournemouth1 – 3Chelsea
  • 27 DecChelsea2 – 0Bournemouth

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Chelsea1.79
Draw4.26
Bournemouth4.52

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Chelsea

Chance55.1%
Odds1.79

Draw

Chance23.1%
Odds4.26

Bournemouth

Chance21.8%
Odds4.52

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.24

ChelseaBournemouth
Recent form39%61%
Attack48%52%
Defence32%68%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall72%28%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Chelsea scored 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Chelsea conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Chelsea meet Bournemouth in the England, Premier League on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 1.79. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Chelsea vs Bournemouth match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Chelsea vs Bournemouth?

Chelsea is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.79. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.