Match dossier

Charlton vs Derby Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 15 Aug 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 15 Aug 2026

Charlton

21st in table · 14 pts

DLLLL

Sat, 15 Aug 202615:00

2 : 1

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.44

Derby

23rd in table · 7 pts

LLDLL

Pre-match win probability

34.9%Charlton29.9%Draw35.2%Derby

Our prediction

X2 · Charlton

Charlton vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence69.44%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Charlton 34.9%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • Derby 35.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4469%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CharltonDerby
Goals scored (avg)
0.50.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.92.2
Wins
31
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Charlton0W 4D 6L in last 10
  • 3 NovCharlton0 – 1BoltonL
  • 31 OctMiddlesbrough3 – 0CharltonL
  • 24 OctCharlton1 – 3NorwichL
  • 17 OctWatford2 – 0CharltonL
  • 13 OctBurnley2 – 2CharltonD
  • 10 OctCharlton1 – 1Bristol CityD
  • 19 SeptCardiff3 – 1CharltonL
  • 12 SeptCharlton0 – 0PortsmouthD
  • 9 SeptCharlton0 – 0QPRD
  • 5 SeptStoke City4 – 0CharltonL
Derby0W 3D 7L in last 10
  • 3 NovDerby0 – 4NorwichL
  • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
  • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
  • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
  • 5 SeptWest Ham3 – 0DerbyL
H2H
Head to headCharlton 3W · 1D · Derby 5W · 2.1 goals a game
  • 20 JanCharlton1 – 2Derby
  • 30 SeptDerby1 – 1Charlton
  • 27 FebDerby1 – 2Charlton
  • 3 FebCharlton0 – 1Derby
  • 18 FebDerby2 – 0Charlton
  • 6 AugCharlton1 – 0Derby
  • 30 DecDerby2 – 1Charlton
  • 19 OctCharlton3 – 0Derby
  • 16 AprCharlton0 – 1Derby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Charlton2.67
Draw3.12
Derby2.65

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Charlton

Chance34.9%
Odds2.67

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3.12

Derby

Chance35.2%
Odds2.65

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.44

CharltonDerby
Recent form57%43%
Attack45%55%
Defence58%42%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Charlton scored 0.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Charlton conceded 1.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Charlton vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 15 Aug 2026

Charlton meet Derby in the England, Championship on 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Charlton vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Charlton vs Derby match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 15 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Charlton vs Derby?

Derby is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.