Match dossier

Cagliari vs Lecce Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Mon, 7 Sept 2026 · 17:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie AMon, 7 Sept 2026

Cagliari

12th in table · 13 pts

DLLLL

Mon, 7 Sept 202617:30

1 : 0

Full timeTip: Under 3.5 · 1.17

Lecce

14th in table · 9 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

47.4%Cagliari29.7%Draw22.9%Lecce

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Cagliari

Cagliari vs Lecce listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence85.47%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cagliari 47.4%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Lecce 22.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeUnder 3.5Odds 1.1785%Won
  • Away Win2Odds 4.3023%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.4569%Lost
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.9234%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.1785%Won
  • Banker of the DayOver 1.5Odds 1.4569%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CagliariLecce
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.92.2
Wins
43
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cagliari2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovLazio2 – 1CagliariL
  • 27 OctAS Roma4 – 2CagliariL
  • 24 OctCagliari0 – 2BolognaL
  • 19 OctMonza4 – 0CagliariL
  • 11 OctCagliari1 – 1JuventusD
  • 19 SeptUdinese0 – 1CagliariW
  • 12 SeptAtalanta1 – 2CagliariW
  • 3 SeptCagliari1 – 2Hellas VeronaL
  • 30 AugCagliari0 – 1InterL
Lecce3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 1 NovLecce1 – 2GenoaL
  • 29 OctFrosinone5 – 1LecceL
  • 25 OctLecce0 – 2JuventusL
  • 18 OctUdinese0 – 3LecceW
  • 11 OctLecce1 – 2BolognaL
  • 20 SeptAC Milan3 – 0LecceL
  • 13 SeptLecce3 – 2MonzaW
  • 31 AugLecce0 – 4AS RomaL
  • 23 AugVenezia0 – 2LecceW
H2H
Head to headCagliari 2W · 4D · Lecce 3W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 16 FebCagliari0 – 2Lecce
  • 19 SeptLecce1 – 2Cagliari
  • 19 JanCagliari4 – 1Lecce
  • 31 AugLecce1 – 0Cagliari
  • 5 MayCagliari1 – 1Lecce
  • 6 JanLecce1 – 1Cagliari
  • 12 JulCagliari0 – 0Lecce
  • 25 NovLecce2 – 2Cagliari
  • 26 FebCagliari1 – 2Lecce

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Cagliari2.08
Draw3.32
Lecce4.3

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Cagliari

Chance47.4%
Odds2.08

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.32

Lecce

Chance22.9%
Odds4.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.17

CagliariLecce
Recent form44%56%
Attack43%57%
Defence58%42%
Goals model43%57%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall67%33%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Cagliari scored 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Cagliari conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Cagliari vs Lecce: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Mon, 7 Sept 2026

Cagliari meet Lecce in the Italy, Serie A on 7 September 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cagliari at 2.08. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cagliari vs Lecce FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Cagliari vs Lecce match?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 7 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Cagliari vs Lecce?

Cagliari is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.08. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.