Match dossier

Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Predictions

Wales · Premier League · Fri, 7 Aug 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Caernarfon Town

4th in table · 29 pts

LWWWL

Fri, 7 Aug 202619:45

1 : 2

Full timeTip: X · 3.46

Penybont

3rd in table · 33 pts

WLWWW

Pre-match win probability

48.9%Caernarfon Town26.3%Draw24.8%Penybont

Our prediction

X · Caernarfon Town

Caernarfon Town vs Penybont listed tip from the board.

Odds3.46
Confidence61.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Caernarfon Town 48.9%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Penybont 24.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.4661%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2183%Won
  • Banker of the DayUnder 3.5Odds 1.3276%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3276%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3276%Won
  • Single BetOver 1.5Odds 1.2183%Won

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Caernarfon TownPenybont
Goals scored (avg)
32.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.9
Wins
910
Played
1514

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Caernarfon Town6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 30 OctAirbus UK3 – 2Caernarfon TownL
  • 23 OctCaernarfon Town3 – 1Briton FerryW
  • 17 OctFlint Town United1 – 3Caernarfon TownW
  • 9 OctHaverfordwest County AFC1 – 2Caernarfon TownW
  • 3 OctCaernarfon Town0 – 1Barry TownL
  • 26 SeptCardiff MET2 – 2Caernarfon TownD
  • 18 SeptCaernarfon Town9 – 1Cambrian & ClydachW
  • 15 SeptLlandudno1 – 1Caernarfon TownD
  • 11 SeptAmmanford AFC0 – 5Caernarfon TownW
  • 4 SeptCaernarfon Town3 – 0Flint Town UnitedW
Penybont8W 0D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctCardiff MET0 – 5PenybontW
  • 18 OctAfan Lido2 – 3PenybontW
  • 9 OctPenybont3 – 1Barry TownW
  • 3 OctGAP Connah S Quay FC1 – 0PenybontL
  • 26 SeptPenybont2 – 1Airbus UKW
  • 18 SeptAmmanford AFC1 – 5PenybontW
  • 15 SeptPenybont3 – 2Briton FerryW
  • 11 SeptTrefelin0 – 1PenybontW
  • 5 SeptPenybont1 – 0Colwyn BayW
H2H
Head to headCaernarfon Town 4W · 1D · Penybont 4W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 18 AprCaernarfon Town2 – 0Penybont
  • 24 JanPenybont0 – 0Caernarfon Town
  • 25 OctPenybont0 – 2Caernarfon Town
  • 20 SeptCaernarfon Town1 – 2Penybont
  • 13 AprPenybont3 – 1Caernarfon Town
  • 22 FebCaernarfon Town3 – 2Penybont
  • 2 NovCaernarfon Town1 – 5Penybont
  • 7 SeptPenybont2 – 0Caernarfon Town
  • 18 MayCaernarfon Town3 – 1Penybont

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Caernarfon Town1.86
Draw3.46
Penybont3.66

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Caernarfon Town

Chance48.9%
Odds1.86

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.46

Penybont

Chance24.8%
Odds3.66

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.46

Caernarfon TownPenybont
Recent form45%55%
Attack54%46%
Defence48%52%
Goals model54%46%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall66%34%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Caernarfon Town scored 3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Caernarfon Town conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Caernarfon Town vs Penybont: prediction & preview

Wales · Premier League · Fri, 7 Aug 2026

Caernarfon Town meet Penybont in the Wales, Premier League on 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caernarfon Town at 1.86. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Caernarfon Town vs Penybont FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Caernarfon Town vs Penybont match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 7 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?

Caernarfon Town is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.86. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.