Match dossier

Caen vs Rouen Predictions

France · Ligue 3 · Thu, 24 Sept 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

France · Ligue 3Thu, 24 Sept 2026

Caen

4th in table · 19 pts

WLLWD

Thu, 24 Sept 202619:45

3 : 2

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.40

Rouen

2nd in table · 23 pts

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

35.1%Caen29.6%Draw35.3%Rouen

Our prediction

X2 · Caen

Caen vs Rouen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.40
Confidence71.43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Caen 35.1%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Rouen 35.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4071%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2282%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 4.2124%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.8056%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3375%Won
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.3276%Lost

Season statistics

Ligue 3 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CaenRouen
Goals scored (avg)
1.62
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.40.7
Wins
67
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Caen4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctLe Puy Foot2 – 2CaenD
  • 15 OctCaen2 – 1La Roche VFW
  • 3 OctFleury 913 – 2CaenL
  • 19 SeptConcarneau2 – 0CaenL
  • 12 SeptCaen2 – 0GobelinsW
  • 5 SeptBourg-en-bresse 010 – 2CaenW
  • 27 AugCaen0 – 1BastiaL
  • 20 AugCaen1 – 0AubagneW
  • 14 AugThionville Lusitanos4 – 3CaenL
Rouen7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctRouen2 – 1ConcarneauW
  • 17 OctGobelins3 – 1RouenL
  • 3 OctRouen2 – 0Bourg-en-bresse 01W
  • 19 SeptRouen1 – 0AubagneW
  • 12 SeptThionville Lusitanos0 – 4RouenW
  • 3 SeptRouen1 – 1ValenciennesD
  • 29 AugVillefranche0 – 2RouenW
  • 20 AugRouen3 – 0QuevillyW
  • 14 AugOrleans1 – 2RouenW
H2H
Head to headCaen 0W · 2D · Rouen 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 27 MarRouen1 – 1Caen
  • 21 OctCaen1 – 1Rouen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Caen2.55
Draw3.02
Rouen2.53

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Caen

Chance35.1%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.02

Rouen

Chance35.3%
Odds2.53

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.40

CaenRouen
Recent form37%63%
Attack44%56%
Defence41%59%
Goals model44%56%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 3

Caen scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 3

Caen conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 3

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 3

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Caen vs Rouen: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 3 · Thu, 24 Sept 2026

Caen meet Rouen in the France, Ligue 3 on 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rouen at 2.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Caen vs Rouen FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Caen vs Rouen match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 24 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Caen vs Rouen?

Rouen is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.