Match dossier

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Predictions

England · Championship · Wed, 2 Sept 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipWed, 2 Sept 2026

Burnley

22nd in table · 10 pts

DLLDD

Wed, 2 Sept 202620:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: X · 3.50

Middlesbrough

1st in table · 28 pts

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

34.3%Burnley26.7%Draw39%Middlesbrough

Our prediction

X · Burnley

Burnley vs Middlesbrough listed tip from the board.

Odds3.50
Confidence61.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burnley 34.3%
  • Draw 26.7%
  • Middlesbrough 39%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.5061%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5863%Won
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1984%Won
  • Banker of the DayGGOdds 1.5863%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3276%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 4.4722%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BurnleyMiddlesbrough
Goals scored (avg)
1.32.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.5
Wins
18
Played
1413

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Burnley1W 5D 4L in last 10
  • 3 NovQPR1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 31 OctBurnley0 – 0PortsmouthD
  • 24 OctLincoln4 – 1BurnleyL
  • 16 OctBurnley1 – 2WolvesL
  • 13 OctBurnley2 – 2CharltonD
  • 10 OctWatford0 – 4BurnleyW
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptSwansea3 – 1BurnleyL
  • 8 SeptWrexham1 – 1BurnleyD
  • 5 SeptBurnley1 – 2Bristol CityL
Middlesbrough6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctMiddlesbrough3 – 0CharltonW
  • 23 OctBolton1 – 5MiddlesbroughW
  • 17 OctMiddlesbrough2 – 2CardiffD
  • 13 OctStoke City2 – 3MiddlesbroughW
  • 10 OctMiddlesbrough1 – 0WolvesW
  • 19 SeptBirmingham2 – 2MiddlesbroughD
  • 15 SeptMiddlesbrough2 – 2MillwallD
  • 12 SeptMiddlesbrough4 – 3NorwichW
  • 8 SeptCrystal Palace3 – 0MiddlesbroughL
  • 5 SeptQPR0 – 1MiddlesbroughW
H2H
Head to headBurnley 4W · 4D · Middlesbrough 1W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 29 DecMiddlesbrough0 – 0Burnley
  • 6 DecBurnley1 – 1Middlesbrough
  • 7 AprMiddlesbrough1 – 2Burnley
  • 17 DecBurnley3 – 1Middlesbrough
  • 8 AprMiddlesbrough0 – 0Burnley
  • 26 DecBurnley1 – 0Middlesbrough
  • 19 AprBurnley1 – 1Middlesbrough
  • 9 JanMiddlesbrough1 – 2Burnley
  • 15 DecMiddlesbrough1 – 0Burnley

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Burnley2.72
Draw3.5
Middlesbrough2.39

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Burnley

Chance34.3%
Odds2.72

Draw

Chance26.7%
Odds3.5

Middlesbrough

Chance39%
Odds2.39

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.50

BurnleyMiddlesbrough
Recent form28%72%
Attack36%64%
Defence48%52%
Goals model36%64%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall47%53%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Burnley scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Burnley conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Burnley vs Middlesbrough: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Wed, 2 Sept 2026

Burnley meet Middlesbrough in the England, Championship on 2 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough at 2.39. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burnley vs Middlesbrough FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Burnley vs Middlesbrough match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 2 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Burnley vs Middlesbrough?

Middlesbrough is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.39. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.