Match dossier

Brighton vs Leeds Predictions

England · Premier League · Sat, 5 Sept 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brighton

3rd in table · 19 pts

WDLDW

Sat, 5 Sept 202615:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: 1 · 1.53

Leeds

12th in table · 11 pts

DLDDL

Pre-match win probability

48.5%Brighton26.8%Draw24.7%Leeds

Our prediction

1 · Brighton

Brighton vs Leeds listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence65.36%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Brighton 48.5%
  • Draw 26.8%
  • Leeds 24.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.5365%Won
  • Correct Score Tips4-1Odds 26.004%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.9950%Lost

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BrightonLeeds
Goals scored (avg)
2.51.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.4
Wins
62
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Brighton7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 31 OctManchester City0 – 1BrightonW
  • 28 OctManchester City2 – 2BrightonD
  • 25 OctLiverpool2 – 0BrightonL
  • 22 OctFK Jablonec0 – 0BrightonD
  • 18 OctBrighton5 – 0Crystal PalaceW
  • 15 OctBrighton4 – 0Kauno ŽalgirisW
  • 10 OctSunderland0 – 2BrightonW
  • 19 SeptBrighton3 – 0ArsenalW
  • 16 SeptManchester United2 – 3BrightonW
  • 13 SeptCoventry0 – 5BrightonW
Leeds2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctBournemouth2 – 0LeedsL
  • 25 OctSunderland0 – 0LeedsD
  • 18 OctLeeds1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 10 OctArsenal2 – 1LeedsL
  • 20 SeptLeeds0 – 0Crystal PalaceD
  • 14 SeptLeeds4 – 1NewcastleW
  • 9 SeptChelsea6 – 3LeedsL
  • 30 AugLeeds1 – 1BrentfordD
  • 25 AugNottingham Forest0 – 2LeedsW
H2H
Head to headBrighton 4W · 3D · Leeds 2W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 17 MayLeeds1 – 0Brighton
  • 1 NovBrighton3 – 0Leeds
  • 11 MarLeeds2 – 2Brighton
  • 27 AugBrighton1 – 0Leeds
  • 15 MayLeeds1 – 1Brighton
  • 27 NovBrighton0 – 0Leeds
  • 1 MayBrighton2 – 0Leeds
  • 16 JanLeeds0 – 1Brighton
  • 18 MarLeeds2 – 0Brighton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Brighton2.03
Draw3.68
Leeds3.98

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Brighton

Chance48.5%
Odds2.03

Draw

Chance26.8%
Odds3.68

Leeds

Chance24.7%
Odds3.98

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.53

BrightonLeeds
Recent form70%30%
Attack66%34%
Defence60%40%
Goals model66%34%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall66%34%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Brighton scored 2.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Brighton conceded 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 7 of those 10.

Brighton vs Leeds: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Brighton meet Leeds in the England, Premier League on 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Brighton at 2.03. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Brighton vs Leeds FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Brighton vs Leeds match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Brighton vs Leeds?

Brighton is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.03. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.