Match dossier

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Predictions

England · League Cup · Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · 20:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · League CupWed, 28 Oct 2026

Bournemouth

WWWWW

Wed, 28 Oct 202620:45

3 : 0

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.40

Aston Villa

WWWDL

Pre-match win probability

41.4%Bournemouth27%Draw31.6%Aston Villa

Our prediction

1X · Bournemouth

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.40
Confidence71.43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bournemouth 41.4%
  • Draw 27%
  • Aston Villa 31.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.4071%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5664%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.7736%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.6760%Won

Season statistics

League Cup · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BournemouthAston Villa
Goals scored (avg)
22.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bournemouth6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctBournemouth2 – 0LeedsW
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthW
  • 22 OctBournemouth3 – 0AC MilanW
  • 18 OctBournemouth2 – 0SunderlandW
  • 15 OctBournemouth3 – 0Sturm GrazW
  • 10 OctChelsea5 – 1BournemouthL
  • 20 SeptBournemouth0 – 1LiverpoolL
  • 17 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2BournemouthW
  • 12 SeptBournemouth2 – 2BrentfordD
Aston Villa6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 3 NovBarcelona3 – 0Aston VillaL
  • 31 OctAston Villa1 – 1FulhamD
  • 24 OctAston Villa2 – 1Manchester CityW
  • 21 OctAston Villa3 – 1VikingW
  • 17 OctNewcastle0 – 1Aston VillaW
  • 14 OctAston Villa6 – 0FenerbahçeW
  • 10 OctAston Villa2 – 2BrentfordD
  • 2 OctSevilla1 – 3Aston VillaW
  • 19 SeptTottenham2 – 3Aston VillaW
H2H
Head to headBournemouth 2W · 3D · Aston Villa 4W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 7 FebBournemouth1 – 1Aston Villa
  • 9 NovAston Villa4 – 0Bournemouth
  • 10 MayBournemouth0 – 1Aston Villa
  • 26 OctAston Villa1 – 1Bournemouth
  • 21 AprAston Villa3 – 1Bournemouth
  • 3 DecBournemouth2 – 2Aston Villa
  • 18 MarAston Villa3 – 0Bournemouth
  • 6 AugBournemouth2 – 0Aston Villa
  • 1 FebBournemouth2 – 1Aston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Bournemouth2.32
Draw3.56
Aston Villa3.04

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Bournemouth

Chance41.4%
Odds2.32

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.56

Aston Villa

Chance31.6%
Odds3.04

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.40

BournemouthAston Villa
Recent form49%51%
Attack47%53%
Defence53%47%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · League Cup

Bournemouth scored 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · League Cup

Bournemouth conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · League Cup

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · League Cup

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 9.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · League Cup · Wed, 28 Oct 2026

Bournemouth meet Aston Villa in the England, League Cup on 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bournemouth at 2.32. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Bournemouth vs Aston Villa match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 28 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Bournemouth is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.32. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.