Match dossier

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 Predictions

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 14:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 12 Sept 2026

Borussia Dortmund

2nd in table · 18 pts

DWWWD

Sat, 12 Sept 202614:30

3 : 0

Full timeTip: Over 0.5 · 1.18

SC Paderborn 07

14th in table · 9 pts

LDWLD

Pre-match win probability

77.5%Borussia Dortmund14%Draw8.5%SC Paderborn 07

Our prediction

Over 0.5 · Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence84.75%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Borussia Dortmund 77.5%
  • Draw 14%
  • SC Paderborn 07 8.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 0.5Odds 1.1885%Won
  • Home Win1Odds 1.2779%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.3176%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8056%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.7557%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.1885%Won

Season statistics

Bundesliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07
Goals scored (avg)
1.60.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.10.8
Wins
52
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Borussia Dortmund5W 3D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctBayern München2 – 2Borussia DortmundD
  • 27 OctBorussia Dortmund3 – 2Werder BremenW
  • 24 OctBorussia Dortmund1 – 0Eintracht FrankfurtW
  • 20 OctSabah FA1 – 2Borussia DortmundW
  • 17 OctUnion Berlin0 – 0Borussia DortmundD
  • 14 OctBodo/Glimt1 – 0Borussia DortmundL
  • 9 OctBorussia Dortmund2 – 2Werder BremenD
  • 19 SeptVfB Stuttgart0 – 1Borussia DortmundW
  • 8 SeptBorussia Dortmund3 – 2VillarrealW
SC Paderborn 073W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctBorussia Mönchengladbach0 – 0SC Paderborn 07D
  • 28 OctSC Paderborn 070 – 1VfB StuttgartL
  • 24 OctSC Paderborn 071 – 0Hamburger SVW
  • 17 OctWerder Bremen2 – 2SC Paderborn 07D
  • 10 OctSC Paderborn 070 – 2VfB StuttgartL
  • 1 OctDC United0 – 1SC Paderborn 07W
  • 20 SeptSC Paderborn 073 – 11899 HoffenheimW
  • 5 SeptSC Paderborn 070 – 1SC FreiburgL
  • 29 AugFSV Mainz 050 – 0SC Paderborn 07D
H2H
Head to headBorussia Dortmund 4W · 3D · SC Paderborn 07 0W · 5 goals a game
  • 2 FebBorussia Dortmund3 – 2SC Paderborn 07
  • 28 AugBorussia Dortmund1 – 1SC Paderborn 07
  • 31 MaySC Paderborn 071 – 6Borussia Dortmund
  • 22 NovBorussia Dortmund3 – 3SC Paderborn 07
  • 28 OctBorussia Dortmund7 – 1SC Paderborn 07
  • 18 AprBorussia Dortmund3 – 0SC Paderborn 07
  • 22 NovSC Paderborn 072 – 2Borussia Dortmund

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Borussia Dortmund1.27
Draw7.01
SC Paderborn 0711.6

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Borussia Dortmund

Chance77.5%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance14%
Odds7.01

SC Paderborn 07

Chance8.5%
Odds11.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 0.5 at 1.18

Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07
Recent form60%40%
Attack67%33%
Defence46%54%
Goals model67%33%
Head-to-head79%21%
Overall90%10%

Trends

Trend · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Borussia Dortmund meet SC Paderborn 07 in the Germany, Bundesliga on 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Borussia Dortmund at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 match?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?

Borussia Dortmund is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.