Match dossier

Bolton vs Stoke City Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 10 Oct 2026

Bolton

16th in table · 17 pts

WDLLW

Sat, 10 Oct 202615:00

1 : 2

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.42

Stoke City

3rd in table · 26 pts

LWDWW

Pre-match win probability

34.3%Bolton28.3%Draw37.3%Stoke City

Our prediction

X2 · Bolton

Bolton vs Stoke City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.42
Confidence70.42%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bolton 34.3%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Stoke City 37.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.4270%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6561%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 4.0025%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BoltonStoke City
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.10.8
Wins
58
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Bolton4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 3 NovCharlton0 – 1BoltonW
  • 31 OctBolton2 – 3Bristol CityL
  • 23 OctBolton1 – 5MiddlesbroughL
  • 17 OctSouthampton0 – 0BoltonD
  • 13 OctWolves1 – 3BoltonW
  • 20 SeptNorwich3 – 4BoltonW
  • 12 SeptBolton1 – 0CardiffW
  • 8 SeptBolton2 – 3West HamL
  • 5 SeptMillwall4 – 0BoltonL
Stoke City6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 3 NovBlackburn1 – 2Stoke CityW
  • 31 OctStoke City2 – 0PrestonW
  • 24 OctStoke City0 – 0Bristol CityD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityW
  • 13 OctStoke City2 – 3MiddlesbroughL
  • 19 SeptStoke City2 – 1Sheffield UtdW
  • 12 SeptWatford1 – 2Stoke CityW
  • 8 SeptCardiff1 – 1Stoke CityD
  • 5 SeptStoke City4 – 0CharltonW
H2H
Head to headBolton 2W · 2D · Stoke City 3W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 30 JulBolton0 – 1Stoke City
  • 29 DecBolton0 – 0Stoke City
  • 2 OctStoke City2 – 0Bolton
  • 13 MayStoke City2 – 2Bolton
  • 6 NovBolton5 – 0Stoke City
  • 15 JanStoke City2 – 0Bolton
  • 16 OctBolton2 – 1Stoke City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Bolton2.71
Draw3.28
Stoke City2.49

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Bolton

Chance34.3%
Odds2.71

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.28

Stoke City

Chance37.3%
Odds2.49

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.42

BoltonStoke City
Recent form39%61%
Attack47%53%
Defence29%71%
Goals model47%53%
Head-to-head43%57%
Overall48%52%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Bolton scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Bolton conceded 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Bolton vs Stoke City: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Bolton meet Stoke City in the England, Championship on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Stoke City at 2.49. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bolton vs Stoke City FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Bolton vs Stoke City match?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Bolton vs Stoke City?

Stoke City is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.49. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.